Category: International Issues

  • Gaza: Grief, Horror, Outrage, Remembering

    Gaza: Grief, Horror, Outrage, Remembering

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    GRIEF

    How can one not feel intense grief for the young Palestinians who out of despair and fury joined the Great March of Return, and so often found death and severe injury awaiting them as they approached the border unarmed!!?

    This was not a gratuitous event, or something that happened spontaneously on either side. After 70 years of Palestinian suffering, with no end of torment in sight, to show the world and each other their passion was what would be seen as normal, even admirable, demonstrating a spirit of resistance that endured after decades of repression, violence, humiliation, and denial of the most fundamental of rights. After 70 years of Israeli statehood, this violent confirmation of our worst fears and perceptions, seals a negative destiny for Israel as far as the moral eye can see.

    HORROR

    When exposed to such visual images of resistance and sniper violence the scene expresses the horror of burning steel rubbing against raw flesh. There is no way to grasp this particular cartography of risk, vulnerability, and security than to have recourse the language and imagery of horror. Such a sad narrative of horror will linger on both sides to haunt both collective and individual memories, but one with tragic pride, the other with repressed shame.

    The horror was magnified by coinciding with obscene celebratory events in Jerusalem where Americans representing the Trump presidency, including Ivanka Trump, Jared Kushner, and the American Ambassador, David Friedman, brought infamy to the United States by this unseemly display of indifference to crimes against humanity being unabashedly committed as they spoke. Such moral and political insensitivity will not and should not be forgotten.

    OUTRAGE

    Words are all we have, but they will do. As Thomas Merton taught, some crimes are situated in the domain of the unspeakable.

    The occasions for outrage about the treatment of the Palestinian people are many, but the Israeli reaction to this Palestinian march reaches a new level of moral, political, and legal wretchedness. It recalls the cry of religious leaders of conscience in the last stage of the Vietnam War, expressed by their dutiful compilation of criminal acts of American violence committed in relatively defenseless Vietnam bearing the telling title—NOT IN OUR NAME.

    As Jews, as Americans, as human beings, isn’t it about time to take a similar stand, and at least create symbolic distance between the perpetrators of these crimes and ourselves?

    The feeble Israeli claims of its right of self-defense or attributing Palestinian martyrdom to Hamas are so shallow and lacking in credibility as to discredit further rather than provide justifications for this exhibition of homicidal violence on a massive scale not as isolated incident but as a series of arrogant reenactments.

    REMEMBERING

    Not with words or argument, but with tears, and tears will not do.

    Certainly as the Martyrdom of Gaza, and quite possibly seen as a kind of silent bonding by the Palestinian people with the African victims of the Sharpeville Massacre (1960)!

    From this darkness will come an as yet undisclosed inspiration.[/fusion_text][/fusion_builder_column][/fusion_builder_row][/fusion_builder_container][fusion_global id=”13042″]

  • Open Letter to the President of Mexico

    On November 28, NAPF President David Krieger sent an open letter to the President of Mexico, Enrique Peña Nieto, regarding the terrible situation faced by thousands of indigenous Mexican Tzotzil in the state of Chiapas.

    Dr. Krieger wrote, “We respectfully ask you to find an immediate solution in the case of the indigenous chiapanecos and avoid an even greater catastrophe.”

    To read the full letter in English, click here.

    Vaya aquí para la versión española.

  • Trump’s Dangerous Rush to Judgment: Why Congress Should Investigate

    This article was originally published on Medium.

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    Pres. Trump waited only three days before launching his attack on the Syrian airfield from which he believed a chemical weapons attack was launched. Particularly in the nuclear age, such rash behavior has serious, negative consequences for our national security that have been largely overlooked.

    The mainstream media and most members of Congress treat the president’s belief that Assad was responsible as an established fact. A New York Times Editorial written just one day after the chemical weapons attack was headlined “A New Level of Depravity From Mr. Assad.” Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell tweeted, “I support both the action and objective of @POTUS’ strike against Syria to deter the Assad regime from using chemical weapons again.”

    This rush to judgment is reminiscent of 1964‘s drumbeat to war in Vietnam and 2003’s in Iraq, both of which had disastrous consequences for our nation. Both were also later found to be based on false assumptions that had been accepted as unquestionable facts by most of the media and Congress.

    Questions have been raised about the evidence presented by the administration, which will take time to assess. It did not make sense for Assad to launch a chemical weapons attack on civilians when he was gaining the upper hand militarily in Syria’s civil war. Such an attack was one of the few events that could cause the US to attack him, giving the rebels a motivation to possibly launch a false flag chemical weapons attack.

    Theodore Postol, an MIT professor who previously had served as a scientific advisor to the Chief of Naval Operations, wrote a preliminary assessment which noted that one of the pictures used as evidence to prove that an airborne chemical weapons attack had taken place showed that the supposed bomb had been detonated by forces on the ground, not from the air.

    It may turn out that Pres. Trump was right in his assessment, but there is also a chance that he attacked Syria on a false belief, killing people in the process. Congress should initiate an unbiased, bipartisan investigation to determine the facts, whichever way they lead.

    Even if that investigation determines that Assad was responsible for the attack, Congress needs to consider other implications of the president’s behavior. Every time we attack another nation, we unwittingly encourage nuclear proliferation. Soon after Pres. Trump’s attack on Syria, North Korea put out a press release that stated, “Today’s reality proves that we should confront strength only with strength and that our choice was absolutely right in extraordinarily strengthening our nuclear armed forces.”

    North Korea’s mistrust of the US is heightened because they feel we double crossed Libya’s Muammar Gaddafi. In 2003, when Gaddafi gave up his nuclear weapons program, President Bush promised that his “good faith will be returned,” and asked other nations to find an example in Libya’s move. When the United States attacked Libya eight years later, resulting in Gaddafi’s brutal murder, North Korea released a statement which showed that they had learned a lesson from Libya, but not the one President Bush had intended. The North Koreans saw us as coaxing Libya “with such sweet words as guarantee of security” so that it dismantled its nuclear weapons program, after which we “swallowed it up by force.”

    While Iran has been quieter, Pres. Trump’s attack on Syria strengthens the hands of Iranian hardliners who argue that the US cannot be trusted and only a nuclear deterrent will make Iran safe from the kind of American attacks suffered by Saddam Hussein, Gaddafi, and Assad. Iran sees it as ironic that the US takes such strong action against a chemical weapons attack when the Reagan administration helped Saddam Hussein in his war with Iran even after it knew that Saddam was using chemical weapons against Iran.

    A Congressional investigation should consider the impact of the above facts on American national security as well as dealing with the fundamental question of whether Assad was responsible for this chemical weapons attack. Acting out of anger has always been dangerous, and the nuclear age adds an ominous new dimension to rash behavior.

    For more information like this see the seven international case studies in the book my wife and I recently completed. Click here to download a free PDF.

  • What Is Wrong With Trump’s Attack on Syria?

    Trump may have acted with insufficient evidence as to whether the chemical weapons attack was actually the responsibility of Assad and the Syrian government.  Would Syrian president Assad be foolish enough to launch a chemical attack against civilians, when a military response from the US would be possible, even likely?  Peter Ford, a former UK ambassador to Syria, speaking on BBC Radio, said, “It doesn’t make sense that Assad would do it.  Let’s not leave our brains outside the door when we examine evidence. It would be totally self-defeating as shown by the results…Assad is not mad.”

    Critics of the US military response have suggested as a possible scenario for the chemical release in Idlib province that the Syrian government attack may have been a conventional bombing that exploded stored weapons in the possession of the Syrian rebels, which may have included chemical weapons.

    Trump did not seek and obtain Congressional authorization for his act of war in attacking a Syrian Air Force base.  Thus, the attack was illegal under US law.  It is not the president’s prerogative to initiate attacks against sovereign nations without Congressional authorization.  By acting without such Congressional authorization, Trump has placed himself and the presidency above the rule of law.

    Trump did not seek and obtain authorization for his attack against Syria from the United Nations Security Council, as is required under international law.  By failing to do so the US has put itself outside the boundaries of the UN Charter, which is also a part of US law, as well as other international law to which the US is bound.

    Trump has further undermined US relations with Russia, and has harmed the chances of the US and Russia working cooperatively in resolving the Syrian conflict.  Increased tensions between the US and Russia in Syria make conflict between these two nuclear powers more likely.

    Trump has demonstrated to the world that in matters of war, as with tweeting, he is impulsive, shoots from the hip and is not constrained by US or international law.  These characteristics are not generally accepted by other world leaders as being preferred qualities in a US president.

    Trump’s impulsivity in ordering the attack sets a dangerous standard for someone in charge of the US nuclear arsenal.  It demonstrates the extreme dangers of allowing a single individual to exercise control over a country’s nuclear arsenal.

    Despite the illegality and inherent dangers of his military response, Trump seems to be getting a favorable reaction from the US media.  Nearly all US mainstream media seems to have accepted the assumption that Assad was foolish enough to have launched a chemical attack, and have not questioned Assad’s responsibility for the chemical attack.  It appears that neither the US government nor media have conducted a thorough investigation of responsibility for the chemical attack, which should have been done prior to a military response.

    Referring to what changed with Trump’s ordering the missile strikes against Syria the evening before, a fawning Fareed Zakaria stated, “I think Donald Trump became president of the United States.  I think this was actually a big moment….”  Given Trump’s narcissism, this is the kind of positive response from pundits that is likely to keep him returning to impulsive and illegal uses of military force.

    For his violations of US and international law in attacking Syria with 59 cruise missiles, it is highly likely that Trump will also be rewarded by the American people with an upward bump in his current ground-level job-approval rating.  Too many Americans tend to like their presidents to be fast on the draw and follow the pattern of Ready, Fire, Aim.


    David Krieger is president of the Nuclear Age Peace Foundation (www.wagingpeace.org).  He is the author of many books, including Zero: The Case for Nuclear Weapons Abolition.

  • Keeping Faith with the Future by Peter Kuznick

    This is the transcript of a talk given by Peter Kuznick at the Nuclear Age Peace Foundation’s symposium “The Fierce Urgency of Nuclear Zero: Changing the Discourse” on October 25, 2016. The audio of this talk is available here. For more information about the symposium, click here.

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    This session is called ‘Keeping Faith With the Future’, but after hearing so many presentations yesterday I decided I was going to do something a little different and talk about keeping faith with the past. We’ve been talking a lot about the public ignorance about nuclear war, nuclear winter, the risk that we face now. I’m always appalled by the public ignorance about history. In the national report card that was issued in 2011, among American high school seniors the area they came in last in was not math and science or languages, the area they came in last in was their understanding of US history. 12% of high school seniors were judged to be proficient in US history, but even that number is misleading, because only 2% could identify what Brown versus Board of Education was about, even though it was obvious from the way the question was posed.

    So we’ve got this vast problem of historical ignorance in this country, and that’s why Oliver Stone and I decided to do our project, ‘The Untold History of the United States’, because we wanted to address this. Oliver had… We come from different perspectives. Oliver comes from a conservative Republican family. He was a Goldwater supporter, he volunteered for combat in Vietnam, the only person probably in the history of Yale at least during the Vietnam War to volunteer for combat. I came from a left-wing New York family, and we decided we were going to look at this partly… Oliver wanted to figure out if George Bush was an aberration or if we looked at the patterns of American history, if George Bush was reflective of those patterns.

    He also saw his daughter’s high school history textbook and it repeated all the same lies, all the same myths that we all grew up with in the 1950s and 1960s. So we decided we were going to look at the broad range of American history. So we did a history… The Untold History Project is a history of the American empire and national security state. And one of the things we began to take on that was brought up yesterday is the question of American exceptionalism, because that’s so key to the American mindset in the world, the idea of exceptionalism, the idea that the United States is not only different from all other countries but the United States is better than all other countries.

    Other countries are motivated by greed, by geopolitical considerations, by territory. The United States, however, is motivated only by altruism, benevolence, one that’s bred freedom and democracy. But this is so deeply believed that it’s not even questioned in our society that the United States is different. It goes back to Woodrow Wilson saying after Versailles, “Now the world will see the United States as a savior of the world.” In more recent manifestations of that, Madeline Albright, “If we use forces because we’re America, we’re the indispensable nation. We stand taller and see farther than other countries.” Hillary Clinton repeating that over and over again that we’re the indispensable nation. Barack Obama. I don’t know if you remember when Obama welcomed the troops home at Fort Bragg at the first end of the Iraq war and he said to them, he said, “Your willingness to sacrifice so much for a people that you had never met is part of what makes us special as Americans. Unlike the old empires, we don’t make these sacrifices for territory, for resources, we do it because it’s right. There could be no fuller expression of America’s support for self-determination than our leaving Iraq to its people, that says something about us.” He says, “Wars make us stronger and more secure about our values,” he goes on and on.

    But this notion of American exceptionalism is so deeply ingrained in our psyche, in our culture, that we have to begin to really take it on. And that’s what Oliver and I tried to do in this project. So the idea started back in 2007. Oliver and I were having dinner and he said, “Let’s do a documentary.” It was going to be a one-hour documentary about Henry Wallace and Hiroshima. Then when I went to see him in New York two weeks later he now had an idea for a 10-hour, 10-part documentary series.

    I thought I could get it done during my sabbatical. It ended up taking us five years. Halfway through the project we decided we had to add a book, so we wrote this 800-page book in addition. And what you can say in a documentary in 58 minutes and 30 seconds, is very, very limited. I thought Oliver was going to narrate them like a New Yorker on speed, so my initial drafts were each about three times as long as you could do in 58 minutes. But then we had to obviously re-think it and do it a little bit differently. But, so we started with… And then it aired on Showtime in the United States, it’s aired all over the world. The books, there’s various versions of the book. There’s the Concise Untold History, based on the documentary scripts, the Young Readers book, the first of four volumes is out now. The graphic novel is on the way. So we’ve been doing this around the world and we start really initially with the myths about World War II, again so deeply ingrained in the United States.

    The first myth was that the United States won the war in Europe, right? That’s really unquestioned in the United States. The reality of, course, is that the Soviets won the war in Europe with some help from the United States and Britain. Throughout most of that war, the United States and Britain faced 10 German divisions combined; the Soviets were facing 200 German divisions combined. That’s why Churchill said that the Red Army tore the guts out of the Nazi war machine. Americans don’t know that. I did an anonymous survey with students recently. College students, all A students in high school. You would think they would know something. And I asked them how many Americans died in World War II. The median answer I got was 90,000. So it’s okay, they’re only 300,000 off, that’s in the ballpark. I asked them how many Soviets died in World War II. The median answer I got was 100,000. Which means they were only 27 million off. These kids, they can’t understand anything about the Cold War. They don’t know, can’t understand what’s going on in Ukraine now. This level of ignorance, I think, is pervasive throughout American society.

    The second myth, we look at the same kind of ignorance about Vietnam. College students now don’t really remember much or know much about Vietnam. The Gallup poll that came out last year said that 51% of 18-29 year olds in this country think the Vietnam war was worth fighting, that it wasn’t a mistake. 51%. And so yeah, you have to try to conceptualize this in a way they can understand. When I deal with World War II, I try to explain that the 27 million Soviet losses. You think of 9/11 in the United States, about 3,000 people lost. After that we turned the world upside down. We invaded several countries, we bombed many more countries, droning the world, special forces in 135 countries. And I tell them that, quantitatively, 9/11, that the Soviet losses in World War II are the equivalent of one 9/11 a day, every day for 24 years. One 9/11 a day, every day for 24 years.

    The Vietnam, how do you make that graphic for them? McNamara, when he came into my class, said he accepts that 3.8 million Vietnamese died in the war. Most of my students have gone down to the Vietnam Memorial Wall. And I asked them, “What is the message of that?” They say it’s got the names of 58,280 Americans who died in the war. The lesson of that is the tragedy of Vietnam is that 58,280 Americans died. And I say, “What if… And that wall is 492 feet long. If it included the names of the 3.8 million Vietnamese, the million Cambodians and Laotians, the Americans, Brits, Aussies, everybody who died, the wall would be more than eight miles long. That would be a fitting memorial to the Vietnam war.” But that’s not obviously what we have.

    So Oliver and I decided to take these things on. We go around to campuses all over the country. Our focus is largely our nuclear history, from an apocalyptic perspective. We’re trying to show, if you look at the broad range of American history, you can understand the question of nuclear winter and how deeply rooted that is. And if you study the history, he knows what we were talking about yesterday is not a surprise. And there were times when Americans weren’t even that ignorant. But the main one we show when we go to different campuses is our episode about the atomic bombings of Hiroshima and Nagasaki. I’ve been working on this question for a long time. Back in 1995 I started taking students on a study abroad class to Hiroshima and Nagasaki. I’ve done that every summer since then, since 1995. So American students, we travel with Japanese students from Japanese universities and we deal with this whole thing.

    But if you look at Hiroshima and Nagasaki, what we’re really talking about is World War II. It’s this tiny bomb and the destruction and damage it caused is minuscule compared to what a nuclear war would look like today, as we all understand. In our episodes, so we go around to campuses and to high schools and to community centers here and other countries and we show our episode about the decision to drop the bomb. And we make clear there is, first of all, that there was no military necessity to drop the bomb. One of… The fundamental myth about the bomb is that the atomic bombs ended World War II, and therefore they were justified and that they avoided an invasion, that if the United States had not dropped the bomb we would have had to invade Japan.

    Truman says Marshall told him that we’d lose a half million men in an invasion. Therefore the bombing was necessary, it was actually humane because it not only saved American lives, it saved Japanese lives. It’s the fundamental myth. And what does Obama say when he goes to Hiroshima? I was in Hiroshima. NHK, the Japanese public broadcaster who brought me over there to do some tv shows while Obama was there, and I probably did 50 interviews here as well about this. And what does Obama say there? It was great that he went. I was pushing him to go from the day he got elected. He should have really given his Prague speech in Hiroshima and it would have been even more meaningful and powerful. But what Obama says there from the very beginning is full of lies. The first sentence, “Death fell from the skies.” Death didn’t fall from the sky, the United States dropped an atomic bomb on Hiroshima. But he says there that we have to look history straight in the eye and that we have to tell the truth and tell a different story.

    And what does he say? He says, “World War II reached its brutal end in Hiroshima and Nagasaki”. That’s the lie. That’s what the people have been taught. What is the reality? The reality is that what ended the war, is what we show in our episode, was the Soviet invasion. But not only was the Soviet invasion of Manchuria that ended the war as prime minister Suzuki and others said, the military people said. But Truman knew that in advance. That was the crazy thing about this, is that Truman knew that the Soviet invasion would end the war. He knew there were two ways to end the war, to speed it up. One was changing the surrender terms, tell the Japanese they can keep the emperor. The other was wait for the Soviet invasion. Truman said he went to Potsdam to make sure that Stalin was coming into the war. Stalin had promised Roosevelt at Yalta in February that the Russians would come into the Pacific war three months after the end of the war in Europe, and he gets the agreement from Stalin, and he writes in his journal that night, “Stalin will be in the Jap war by August 15th. Fini Japs when that occurs.” He writes home to his wife, Bess, the next day, says, “The Russians are coming in, we’ll end the war a year sooner now, think of all the boys who won’t be killed.” He looks at the intercepted July 18th cable, and he calls it “the telegram from the Jap emperor asking for peace”.

    He’s fully aware that there are other alternatives to using the bomb, but he chose to use the bomb, and that’s what historians have been debating, why did he want to use the bomb so desperately? And he wanted to use the bomb because he wanted to send a signal to the Soviets that if they messed with American plans in Europe or the Pacific, this is what they’re going to get. And they understood that better than anybody, because the Japanese had adopted an unfortunate strategy of trying to get the Soviets to negotiate on their behalf for better surrender terms, so they could keep the emperor, and they had a couple other demands that they were hoping for.

    So the Soviets interpreted the atomic bombing exactly that way, that this bomb was not dropped on Japan because Japan was defeated, but it was dropped on them. So right from the very beginning, this is key to understanding the arch of the Cold War, but the perspective that Oliver and I have that’s different from other historians… John Dower, great historian from MIT, said that there are two basic narratives about the decision to drop the bomb. One is the tragic narrative and the other is the heroic narrative.

    So the heroic narrative, which we all know is the standard one, it saved American lives and we were the good guys in the war against fascism. The tragic narrative is that it didn’t have to be dropped, and it was a tragedy because of all the people who were killed and wounded and suffered ever since. But Oliver and I have done what we call the apocalyptic narrative, which ties directly into what we were talking about yesterday.

    The apocalyptic narrative argues that Truman knew, understood, and said on several occasions that he was not just dropping a bigger, more powerful bomb, but he was beginning a process that could end all life on the planet, and that was inherent in the bomb from the very beginning. In the summer of ’42, Edward Teller didn’t even want to waste time on the atomic bomb, he wanted to push for the fusion bomb, for the hydrogen bomb from the very beginning, was Teller’s idea.

    On May 31st, 1945, Robert Oppenheimer briefs America’s military and political leaders, and says that within three years, we’re likely to have weapons between 700 and 7,000 times as powerful as the bomb that was dropped on Hiroshima. We knew what was happening. And America’s military leaders knew this too, so at Potsdam, Truman gets the briefing on how powerful the Alamogordo test was, and he writes in his journal, he says, “We’ve discovered the most terrible weapon in history, this may be the fire destruction prophesied in the Euphrates valley era after Noah and his fabulous ark.”

    Not a bigger more powerful bomb, the fire destruction. So Truman uses it, right, to kill innocent people is a war crime, but to threaten all of humanity with extinction, which is what we were doing from the start of the nuclear age, is far, far worse. And from the standpoint of it being necessary, even in a military sense, America had eight five star admirals and generals in 1945. Seven of the eight are on record saying the bomb was either militarily unnecessary or morally reprehensible, or both. So we’re not talking about pacifists, we’re talking about Eisenhower, MacArthur, Leahy. We’re talking about… Nimitz. The key American military leaders, but does the American public know this?

    Well, maybe they’re starting to, because if we look at the polling over the years, it’s usually about 55% to 45% in favor of the atomic bomb in the public opinion polling. There was one that came out last year that was actually 57% in favor of the bomb, to 34% percent opposed. But in late May of this year, May 27th, CBS News released a poll that showed that 44% of Americans were opposed to the dropping of the atomic bomb, and only 43% support it.

    So I think our collective efforts of trying to get this message out there, perhaps is finally starting to reach people. I gave a talk in a senior citizens living center this summer, and before the talk I asked them, “How many of you think that Truman did the right thing in dropping the atomic bomb, and these are people in their 70s, 80s and 90s, and of the 27 people in the room, 26 hands went up supporting Truman in dropping the bomb. But you can get, sometimes on campuses, I get just the opposite response, and Oliver and I used to go around to campuses all over the country, and we’d get a fabulous response.

    That’s one of the reasons why I’m more optimistic about some of this, because a lot of it just has to do with our ability to reach people, because once they are exposed to things that they’ve never heard before, it wakes them up, it opens their eyes. And even the US, the museum, National Museum of the US Navy in Washington DC, says that now, in its exhibit, says, “The vast destruction wreaked by the bombings of Hiroshima and Nagasaki made little impact on the Japanese military; however, the Soviet invasion on Manchuria on August 9th changed their minds.” So even the National Museum of the US Navy is finally talking a little bit of truth about this.

    So we talk about that. Then we go into the Cold War and the arms race. One of the people we highlight, is a man who’s been lost to history and I think it’s very, very unfortunate, and that’s Henry Wallace. I go to audiences and I ask them, “Who is Roosevelt’s vice president from ’41 to ’45?” Nobody knows. Most people have never even heard of Henry Wallace. So Oliver and I really featured him very prominently. I assume that this group does know more about Henry Wallace, but I’ll just tell you a little since I don’t have much time.

    Roosevelt in 1940 knew we were about to get to war against fascism and he wanted a progressive on the ticket as vice president. So, he chose former Secretary of Agriculture, Henry Wallace, who was a leading anti-fascist in the New Deal administrations. It’s an interesting story, because the convention didn’t want to give him Wallace as vice president. So Roosevelt wrote a remarkable letter to the convention turning down the nomination for the third term saying, “We already have one conservative, money-dominated party in this country, the Republicans. So if the Democrats are not going to stand for liberal, progressive ideas and social justice, then this party has no reason to exist and I’m not going to run as a candidate for president on this ticket.” Eleanor went to the floor of the convention and convinced them that he was serious and they put Wallace on as vice president.

    In 1941, Henry Luce announced that the 20th century is going to be the American century, where the United States is going to dominate the world in every way. Wallace countered that, said that the 20th century must be the century of the common man. He called for a worldwide people’s revolution in the tradition of the American Revolution, the French Revolution, the Latin-American Revolutions and the Russian Revolution, said we have to end monopolies and cartels, go for global full employment, said we need a worldwide people’s revolution… It is visionary, this progressive vision, and so in ’44, the conservatives in the party want to get Wallace off the ticket. They knew that Roosevelt was not going to survive another term and they wanted somebody much more conservative. The problem was that Wallace was the second most popular man in the United States.

    And on the day the Democratic Party convention started, July 20th, ’44, Gallup released a poll asking potential voters who they wanted on the ticket as vice president. 65% said they wanted Wallace back as vice president, 2% said they wanted Harry Truman, but how could the party bosses control the convention in order to get Truman on there? The first night, Wallace makes a seconding speech for Roosevelt. The place goes wild and a big demonstration goes on for an hour. In the middle of it, Claude Pepper, the senator from Florida, realized if he could get to the microphone, get Wallace’s name in nomination, Wallace would sweep the convention, defy the bosses, be back on the ticket as vice president and would’ve become president on April 12th, 1945.

    So Pepper fights his way to the microphone. Mayor Kelly and the other bosses are screaming, “Adjourn this convention immediately, it’s a fire hazard!” Sam Jackson is chairing it, he didn’t know what to do, said, “I have a motion to adjourn, all in favor say ‘Aye’.” About 5% said aye, all opposed no, everybody else yelled out, “no”. He said, “Motion carried, meeting adjourned”. Pepper was literally 5 feet from the microphone at that point. What we argue here, is that had Pepper gotten five more feet to the microphone, then Wallace would have become president instead of Truman. There would have been no atomic bombing in 1945 and very possibly no Cold War, because Wallace had that rare ability to see the world through the eyes of our adversaries, which most American presidents can’t do at all. And Wallace agreed with Roosevelt that we were going to have to… The post-war period would have to be one in which the United States and the Soviets led the world as friends and allies in order to maintain peace and stability in the post-war world.

    We tell that story because part of the problem, if people’s vision of history is such that they think that the way the world’s turned out is the only way the world could have been, and they can’t imagine a better world. One of the things that’s missing now is this utopianism that we felt so strongly in the 1960s, the idea that we could make a better world, we could make a different world. Students now don’t see that nearly as much. They want to do piece-meal reforms. They don’t have a broad, radical vision that many of us had then, and hopefully still do have. So we wanted to show how many times, how close we’ve come to very, very different histories. How close we came, somebody mentioned yesterday about Eisenhower’s wonderful speech in 1953, which was the first one that Eisenhower gave after Stalin died. After a long silence, Eisenhower gives that speech about building roads and post offices at the cost of one bomb, but what we don’t know is that two days later, Dulles gives a speech and contradicts everything in Eisenhower’s speech and again waves a red flag of confrontation with the Soviets. Eisenhower’s speech was front page news all over the Soviet Union. They were thrilled. They were so excited. We had that possibility when Stalin died in 1953. We had that potential over and over again to create a different history, and that’s part of what we we’re about. We want to grab history now and bend it in a very, very different way than it’s been going.

    I have a lot more that I was going to talk about what the Cold War was really about. This is something that I’ve seen Noam use, but almost no historians use it. George Kennan’s secret memo in 1948 when he was talking about the Cold War. And he says, “We have about 50% of the world’s wealth, but only 6.3% of its population. We cannot fail to be the object of envy and resentment. Our real task in the coming period is to devise a pattern of relationships which will permit us to maintain this position of disparity.” He said, “To do so, we will have to dispense will all sentimentality and day-dreamings. We should cease to talk about vague and unreal objectives, such as human rights, the raising of the living standards and democratization. We’re going to have to deal in straight power concepts. The less we are then hampered by idealistic slogans, the better.”

    What was the Cold War really about? What was Vietnam really about? What was going on in the 1950s? The background to what Dan was talking about yesterday. Somebody mentioned there some numbers, I think Hans threw out some numbers about Eisenhower’s nuclear build-up. When Eisenhower became president, the United States had about a thousand nuclear weapons. When Eisenhower left office, the United States had 22,000 nuclear weapons. When Eisenhower’s budgeting cycle was finished two years later, the United States had 30,000 nuclear weapons. So most people when… Or my students, when I ask them what they know about Eisenhower, they talk about the military industrial complex. Yeah, Eisenhower knew about the military industrial complex, because he created it.

    And as Dan has shown, we went from one finger on the nuclear button with sub-delegation and delegation to dozens of fingers on the nuclear button. Nuclear weapons went from being our last resort to our first resort. They went from civilian control to military control. The last psyop or the first psyop that Dan actually was able to reveal said that in the event of a nuclear war we would immediately shoot off our entire arsenal. It was the Eisenhower strategy, and it would lead to between 600 and 650 million deaths from the American weapons alone. So, as Dan says, a holocaust is what the American strategy was.

    So this apocalyptic vision, this idea of nuclear winter that we’ve been so fixated on is something that was very well-known in the 1950s when there was discussion of cobalt bombs, when there was a world-wide movement to try to control nuclear weapons, where there was a broad discussion that even a nuclear launch by the United States would be suicidal. And that understanding during the Cuban Missile Crisis, it continues in the 1980s, where we still have… Remember the movies like ‘The Day After’, ‘Threads’, ‘Testament’, this was broadly part of the culture. But since the end of the Cold War it has largely vanished. Our goal and our responsibility is to figure out how to bring that back, how to rekindle it. Thanks.

  • Introduction to John Avery’s “The Need for a New Economic System”

    This is Professor Pervez Hoodbhoy’s introduction to John Avery’s new book, The need for a New Economic System.  The book  can be obtained from the following link: http://www.lulu.com/spotlight/johansen_jorgen


    First the good news. Short of an encounter with a wandering black hole, life on planet Earth will survive almost any conceivable disaster including runaway global warning or even a full-blown nuclear war. Its atoms will surely find new ways to combine and recombine into various forms of life, with that life being possibly even more resilient and indestructible than cockroaches. Of course one might somewhat regret the loss, or sharp degradation, of the human species and its habitat.

    The bad news is that the risk of catastrophic climate change and nuclear war is growing. We are burning more hydrocarbons because oil prices have dropped by nearly fifty percent, and more countries have nuclear weapons today than twenty years ago. But let’s be frank — most people aren’t terribly interested about hearing such unpleasant things. Nor do they want to worry about how one is to feed a still growing and ravenously hungry population monster. It’s not that such doomsday prophecies are considered wacky, but dealing with any nasty prognostication always requires moving out of one’s comfort zone into new and scary territory. Worse, it doesn’t pay — except perhaps marginally — to think, write, or do anything at all about such things.

    I think it can be fairly said that, except for a tiny sliver, most of the smartest people on earth today are quite disengaged from, or only barely engaged with, the larger problems of human survival. They worry about countless other wonderful things such as, for example, how to discover the extra dimensions of space and time, or devising artificial intelligence algorithms for figuring out Egyptian and Cretan hieroglyphics. This is much more intellectually satisfying, brings academic recognition, and raises you higher in the pecking order of your peers. Someone like Richard Feynman inspires awe among physicists like me for his many profound and diverse contributions towards understanding the nature of the physical universe. Nevertheless he made no notable contribution in dealing with any of the numerous planetary emergencies we face.

    And then there’s today’s industry and government. They indeed humor the environmentalist who, until just a while ago, had a pariah status.  But saving the planet and the human race is still far from a priority. This task is left up to Greenpeace, Audubon Society, World Wildlife Fund, and a bunch of other do-gooders. Considered as working for a charitable cause, they receive some degree of support but only up to the point where the current order feels challenged. On the other hand the clever inventor who designs, say, a new kind of torpedo which could hunt down a quiet submarine anywhere and at any depth would be thoroughly appreciated and richly rewarded for his creativity by the defense industry in any of over two dozen countries.

    This being how humans currently structure their priorities, it is therefore a matter of relief that at least some serious scientists have chosen to use their considerable scientific and analytical skills to marshal arguments and evidence that point out the profound dangers facing humanity, and then suggest ways of dealing with them. John Avery’s earlier book, “Space Age Science and Stone Age Politics” eloquently made the point that the pace of technology has far outstripped the speed of our cultural evolution. That tour de force guides us through the many stages of the human evolutionary process, starting from the phase of hunter-gatherers and leading up to the enormously complex socio-economic-political formations contained within today’s nation states. In evolutionary terms, creating such systems has been a massive success. But this very success now threaten the biosphere from which diverse forms of life, including humans, draw their sustenance.

    Avery’s new book supplements his earlier works but it comes with a renewed and obstinate insistence that modern society has become unfair to the extreme. In an unregulated capitalist system of rewards and punishments, the rich become richer and the poor poorer. This is what the political scientists Jacob Hacker and Paul Pierson call the “winner-take-all economy.” It is not a picture of a healthy society. Even as unemployment has increased and people have been forced to leave their homes, financial rewards are increasingly concentrated among a tiny elite. Corporate CEO’s have never had it better, with economic risks borne by an increasingly exposed and unprotected, non-unionized middle class. The global financial elite refuses to take losses on its extravagant bets, such as currency speculation. Therefore third world countries — and most recently Greece — have had to pay the price. The contagion shall surely spread to other European countries and beyond.

    Growth is god. Obsessed with this ideology, today’s economies are bent upon achieving a “never-ending exponential growth on a finite planet”. But this imperils all systems, man-made and natural. The present global patterns of social organization and behavior, where the goal is to stimulate consumption towards ever higher levels, is unsustainable.

    This growth ideology is promoted by a banking system, global and national, whose goal is to maximize profits. Its activities are mysteriously shrouded in the technical language of finance — derivative products, equity swaps, etc. Seeking profit and stimulating growth may not necessarily be bad but should growth mean the growth of goods or, instead, the growth of services? If the latter, then this could be sustainable and a source of never ending wealth and progress. Software, music, education, and various scientific and cultural activities expand the economy and raise us to the next level of intellectual sophistication without necessarily extracting a large cost. On the other hand, producing material goods requires use of resources such as fossil fuels and minerals. City after city, and country after country, now faces the ugly consequences of pollution and massive environmental degradation.

    Conflating personal satisfaction with greater individual consumption of goods, and the health of an economy with its rate of growth, are two cornerstones of the modern capitalist system. At an earlier stage of human development, this was much more understandable. Marx, in spite of his moral indignation at the plight of workers under industrial capitalism, acknowledged capitalism as a system that was superior to feudalism because it was more efficient at organizing the production of material goods. Socialism, he said, would inevitably replace capitalism because it would be still more efficient. In Marx’s world, and for that matter Adam Smith’s or David Ricardo’s, more was better. That was when the oceans were teeming with fish, the forests were still lush, and the air was clean except in and just around industrial centers. This environment was assumed fixed, a given quantity, open for unlimited exploitation.

    All this has now changed and a sustainable future for humankind requires a very different outlook. After a certain threshold is crossed, consuming more cannot make an individual, group, or country happier or more satisfied. On the contrary, the penalties paid in terms of environmental damage and clutter is making the graph bend downward instead of curving upward.

    In a nutshell, a possibly happy and dignified existence for humankind faces a two-fold threat: wasteful and excessive consumption by richer countries, and overpopulation within poorer countries. The danger posed by the second is just as great, if not greater. World population has doubled in 40 years from 1959 (3 billion) to 2014 (7 billion). By 2038 this will increase to 9 billion.

    Inimical to regulating population growth are certain religious forces, primarily Catholic and Muslim, which actively oppose birth-control and contraception, arguing that God will miraculously provide sustenance to all who are born. One wishes religious leaders would experiment with bacteria in a Petri dish; these living forms keep multiplying until they either exhaust available nutritive materials or sufficiently poison their environment with excreted wastes. How tragic it would be if a vastly superior life-form did not learn from this elementary observation or from the plight of refugees fleeing the wars in the Middle East, where before one’s eyes is the fact that only a finite number of people can get on to a boat before it capsizes. Staying just below the capsizing threshold is a prescription for savage competition, where the weaker ones get thrown into the sea.

    It is this horrible competition that we must avoid at all cost. As Avery emphasizes, the optimum population of the world is not that which can be squeezed from eradicating every species of plant and animal which cannot be eaten. Instead, it is that which is sustainable and which assures the possibility of a happy and dignified existence to all. John Stuart Mill had noted back in 1848 that “A population may be too crowded, although all be amply supplied with food and raiment.”, and argued that, “If the earth must lose that great portion of its pleasantness which it owes to things that the unlimited increase of wealth and population would extirpate from it, for the mere purpose of enabling it to support a larger, but not better or happier population, I sincerely hope, for the sake of posterity, that they will be content to be stationary, long before necessity compels them to it.

    We have lived for over two centuries in a state of extreme hubris, vanquishing nature with ever greater ease and exulting at the “progress”. We can now drain swamps, tame rivers, turn forests into agricultural farms, make artificial islands, and much more.  But instead of expanding our conquests, should we not take a wider view of things?

    When the incomparable Carl Sagan said we “we are all made of star stuff”, he was implying that humans must be duly humble, conscious that they are delicately located in a cold, unfeeling universe that would not feel their loss. This cosmic philosopher suggests looking from somewhere in deep outer space towards that tiny pale blue dot circling a certain middle aged star, itself the unintended consequence of some ancient supernova explosion. Behold his magnificent poetry:

    The Earth is a very small stage in a vast cosmic arena. Think of the rivers of blood spilled by all those generals and emperors so that, in glory and triumph, they could become the momentary masters of a fraction of a dot. Think of the endless cruelties visited by the inhabitants of one corner of this pixel on the scarcely distinguishable inhabitants of some other corner, how frequent their misunderstandings, how eager they are to kill one another, how fervent their hatreds.

    Our posturings, our imagined self-importance, the delusion that we have some privileged position in the Universe, are challenged by this point of pale light. Our planet is a lonely speck in the great enveloping cosmic dark. In our obscurity, in all this vastness, there is no hint that help will come from elsewhere to save us from ourselves.

    The Earth is the only world known so far to harbor life. There is nowhere else, at least in the near future, to which our species could migrate. Visit, yes. Settle, not yet. Like it or not, for the moment the Earth is where we make our stand.

    We have not treated our little planet well at all. And yet all is not doom and gloom. The realization that we need to change set habits is beginning to dawn. Phasing out CFC’s was an early realization that these chemicals, earlier thought as miracle substances, would have catastrophic consequences. We now have an international treaty banning them, and production has indeed plummeted.

    Reforestation is now an announced goal that many countries say they are committed to. In Canada, overall forest cover has increased over the last decades. China plans to plant 26 billion trees in the next decade, which amounts to two trees for every Chinese citizen per year. The Great Green Wall initiative is a pan-African proposal to “green” the continent from west to east in order to battle desertification. It aims at tackling poverty and the degradation of soils in the Sahel-Saharan region, focusing on a strip of land of 15 km wide and 7,500 km long from Dakar to Djibouti.

    But the progress in renewable energy may perhaps be the most important step forward. According to the Global Trends in Renewable Energy Investment 2015 report, renewable energy (excluding large hydro) accounted for 48% of new generating capacity installed globally in 2014, and the share of renewables in global electricity generation increased to 9.1%. This is equivalent to avoided greenhouse gas emissions of some 1.3 gigatons annually.

    These are welcome, but still fledgling, steps. Much more is needed. We have already used up millions of years of stored resources in terms of land and soil, and most of the easily available energy that was in the form of hydrocarbons. A mass extinction of bird and animal species is well on the way, with about 50 percent already lost. It is unclear when we will be able to halt the downward spiral, but this book certainly lays out the task before us.


     

    Pervez Hoodbhoy has for many years been actively engaged in the search for solutions to pressing global problems.  In 2013, he was made a member of the UN Secretary General’s Advisory Board on Disarmament. Among the awards Prof. Hoodbhoy has won are the IEEE Baker Award for Electronics (1968); the Abdus Salam Prize for Mathematics (1984); the UNESCO Kalinga Prize for the popularization of science (2003); the Joseph A. Burton Award (2010) from the American Physical Society and the Jean Meyer Award from Tufts University. In 2011, he was included in the list of 100 most influential global thinkers by Foreign Policy magazine.

  • Ecocide in Cancun

    In the very well publicized COP21 Climate Summit in Paris, nearly 200 Nations committed to cut their greenhouse gas emissions and make their best efforts to reinforce the environmental laws.

    On paper and in photo ops all reads and looks terrific, but unfortunately it is an Agreement and not a Treaty, therefore it is not mandatory and mostly will depend on the goodwill of Governments.

    We humans are part of this wonderful world that we share with other animals and plants. As the self proclaimed “King of Creation”, our conduct has not been the best for the Planet and our fellow earthlings.  We continue with the Damocles sword of Nuclear weapons hanging over our heads.  We know well that the power to vaporize all life on Earth exists with the touch of a button.  But at the same time, other ways to vanish our presence on this beautiful Blue Marble continues with no stop, with or without Agreements.

    On January 20, 2016, NASA made the announcement jointly with NOAA, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, that 2015 shattered 2014’s record to become the hottest year ever recorded. Revealing another sign that Earth is heating up causing the undeniable Climate Change. But even with all the indisputable data, the destruction of forests, rivers, lakes and green areas advance without stop.

    The area prior to the destruction. Photo credit: LoQueSigue.
    The area prior to the destruction. Photo credit: LoQueSigue.

    An example of this, at the famous beach resort of Cancun, in the State of Quintana Roo, Mexico, an ecocide was committed with the support and compliance of the authorities.  In a quick operation in the early dawn of January 16, enormous excavators and earth moving equipment started leveling the vibrant and full of life ancient mangrove swamp of Tajamar, an oasis in the middle of a sea of cement and glass.  Riot police forces barricaded citizens protesting the appalling destruction. There were daunting scenes similar to the ones in the Amazon where people confronted the excavators.  In Cancun, people with their children tried in vain to stop the ecocide. Their weapons were their voices and their bodies, and the children carrying signs with the question: “What will be left for us?”

    Protestors were blocked from the site. Photo credit: LoQueSigue.
    Protestors were blocked from the site. Photo credit: LoQueSigue.

    The Governor of the State of Quintana Roo, Roberto Borge, justified the devastation of the mangroves. He states that FONATUR (National Funds for Tourism) has permission from SEMARNAT (Secretary of Ecology) to continue with the plan of urban developmentto ensure sustainability and orderly growth.”  

    That development will include condominiums, shops, hotels and even a Basilica that will house 1500 people. The Bishop of Cancun, Pedro Elizondo, has promoted the construction.  It will be part of the destructive forces that are annihilating an ancient and vital green area. This is a total contradiction of what Pope Francis stated for the protection of the environment in his Encyclical letter “Laudatto-Si”  “On care of Our Common Home.”  In the letter the Pope states: “there is a growing sensitivity to the environment and the need to protect nature, along with a growing concern, both genuine and distressing, for what is happening to our planet.”

    The area after the destruction. Photo credit: LoQueSigue.
    The area after the destruction. Photo credit: LoQueSigue.

    The Mexican newspaper El Economista has published the list of the companies and individuals, including the Municipality who claimed ownership of this natural area.  This area was vital not only for the flora and fauna that existed there but also as a buffer zone for hurricanes.

    Dr. David Krieger, NAPF President commented:  “The photos of this unfortunate event shows a microcosm of how we humans are fouling our nest and destroying our planet.  It is appalling and very disturbing.  One is left asking: What is wrong with us?  When will we ever learn?  When will greed be replaced with love and compassion?”

    Ruben D. Arvizu is Director for Latin America of Nuclear Age Peace Foundation, Ambassador of the Global Cities Covenant on Climate and Director General for Latin America of Jean-Michel Cousteau’s Ocean Futures Society.

  • The Demonstrations in Mexico: Human Rivers that Feed the Ocean of Democracy

    Vaya aqui para la version espanola.

    With a firm pace, due to the conviction of their cause, the crowd fills the streets of the great Mexican metropolis, Mexico City that is the capital of the country. Their faces reflect pain, despair, anguish, but at the same time hope that their voices will be heard at last!  They are demanding the return of 43 students kidnapped more than 40 days ago. Many are parents and families of these young, soon to be teachers that on the night of September 26, 2014, disappeared by a coordinated and orderly police action taken by the office of the Mayor of the city of Iguala, Guerrero. This city is the cradle of the Mexican flag and the Plan of Iguala, of February 24, 1824, that consolidated the independence of Mexico. It is located about 100 miles from the famous tourist port of Acapulco and a similar distance from the capital of the nation.

    In a report read on 8 November, the Attorney General, Jesus Murillo Karam, says that the students may already be dead, killed by criminal groups. Their bodies were cremated and dumped in bags in a river. But at the same time he cannot guarantee the identity of these human remains. The terrible uncertainty is hurting deeply the families of these young people, and they refuse to accept these statements until the Government has secured the identification of the remains.

    This is not an unheard of event, but a sequel repeated for decades in the history of modern Mexico.  During the last 25 years this kind of terror and injustice has prevailed in the country climbing to impressive numbers.  From the time of the presidency of Felipe Calderon (2006-2012) up to the second year of the current president, Enrique Peña Nieto, more than 100,000 people have died violently and those that have disappeared reach more than 30,000.

    This figure may be higher because many do not complain due to the terror and the complicity of the authorities. These numbers are worthy of revolutions and even international wars, but not of a nation that prides itself on being a democratic regime emerging into the world arena.

    Human Rights Watch (HRW) has said that the situation of human rights in Mexico is critical. “The rule in Mexico is impunity and Iguala’s case is extremely serious, but it is a symptom of a deeper crisis that drags Mexico in human rights,” complained José Miguel Vivanco, the Americas director at HRW.

    Protests not only crowd the wide avenues and squares of the former Aztec capital; in most Mexican cities and towns citizens have come to express their anger and dissatisfaction with the way the municipal, state and federal authorities have responded to the violence and corruption. Insecurity permeates everywhere and everything.  All this continues despite the orchestrated governmental PR campaigns that have invested large sums of money for months projecting the image of the Mexican Moment, the leap of Mexico to conquer worldwide markets.

    Just last March, the TIME magazine international cover showed the young Mexican president, calling him “The Savior of Mexico”.  This caused controversy and criticism in Mexico and many voices accused TIME of having sold the cover and the very favorable article that accompanied it.  Nine months later, the same magazine in its October issue highlighted in a headline: “The apparent slaughter of dozens of students exposed corruption in the heart of Mexico”. This is a drastic change in its editorial.

    The major television networks in the United States have not reported the massive marches of the past two months. For some strange reason, ABC, CBS, NBC and FOX still have kept an ominous silence.  CNN has published some minor stories and the exception has been The New York Times, Washington Post, The New Yorker, USA Today and a couple of notes in Time. AP, Reuters and other news agencies have reported the news. European newspapers including The Guardian, Le Monde, El Pais, published major reports. The European Parliament issued a statement regarding the disappearances and growing violence in Mexico and made “recommendations to the Mexican government”.  In Germany, many voices were raised demanding that the government of Angela Merkel review the treaty for business with Mexico to be signed in December and the suspension of arms sales to Mexico.

    Internationally renowned figures have joined their voices in protest demanding an immediate answer to the disappearance of the young students and to put an end to violence and insecurity in Mexico, as well as respect for freedom of expression.  The murders and disappearances of journalists and advocates for social and environmental causes in Mexico continue to occur every other day, making the country a dangerous place to exercise those freedoms.

    During the march of November 5, 2014, in the city of Mexico, Jody Williams, the 1997 Nobel Peace Prize recipient, said, “The crisis in Mexico is not only humanitarian but political and economic. It shows in a very painful way, the political corruption”.   She reported that the organization, Nobel Women Initiative, created by the women Nobel Laureates of Peace, of which she is a member, would send a letter to President Enrique Peña and international organizations requesting the urgent solution to these problems.

    Among the many slogans heard in these democratic protests, one stands out which reflects one of the big problems that Mexico has faced throughout its history, a secular apathy and indifference due mainly to corruption and the lack of an efficient judicial system. “We are not afraid to demonstrate, we only fear that people will continue keeping silent.”

    We at NAPF join these protests and raise our voice.  We hope the Mexican Government will hear the cries of its citizens and of many other countries calling for a peaceful and effective solution to the serious problems facing the Mexican nation.

    Rubén D. Arvizu is Director for Latin America of Nuclear Age Peace Foundation.  Ambassador  Global Cities Covenant on Climate  and  Director to Latin America for Jean-Michel Cousteau’s Ocean Futures Society.  Tweet @RubenD.Arvizu

    For more information on the situation in Mexico, we recommend reading these articles.

    http://fusion.net/story/25683/the-call-for-mexicos-president-to-resign-is-growing-louder/

    http://www.newyorker.com/news/news-desk/crisis-mexico-forty-three-missing-students-spark-revolution

    http://www.theguardian.com/world/2014/nov/03/mexico-president-pena-nieto-reputation-founders-failure-find-43-students

    http://aristeguinoticias.com/0711/mexico/investigaciones-del-caso-ayotzinapa-apuntan-al-homicidio-de-un-amplio-grupo-de-personas-murillo/

    http://noticias.univision.com/video/541627/2014-11-06/edicion-nocturna/videos/padre-de-ayotzi-le-sugirio-renunciar-a-pena?cmpid=Tweet:video

    http://www.proceso.com.mx/?p=386781

  • Should NATO Welcome Ukraine?

    With Ukraine’s effort to subdue the pro-Russian rebels in the eastern part of the country faltering, it is understandable that its Prime Minister submitted a proposal to Parliament seeking NATO membership. What is surprising — and dangerous — is the response of NATO’s Secretary-General Anders Fogh Rasmussen: “We fully respect Ukraine’s decisions as regards Ukraine’s security policy and alliance affiliations.”

    2014-08-30-badger.jpg
    While NATO membership for Ukraine would almost surely make Russia more cautious in its treatment of that nation, the immediate risk of NATO membership is likely to make Russia much more aggressive in an attempt to prevent that from ever happening.

    Furthermore, even if Ukraine were to join NATO in the future and that were to make Russia more cautious, the risk of a war between the U.S. and Russia still would increase. That’s because any suspicion of an attack by Russia on Ukraine — as is now the case — then would risk the U.S. being treaty-bound to respond just as if New York had been attacked by Russia.

    NATO Treaty, Article V: “The Parties agree that an armed attack against one or more of them in Europe or North America shall be considered an attack against them all.”

    And it can be very murky determining who is behind an attack, whether or not it was provoked, and even whether or not it even occurred.

    Unless we want to risk the survival of our homeland (and possibly the world) on allegations and perceptions of what is happening in a civil war in Ukraine, we should be much more circumspect in welcoming Ukraine into NATO.

  • Adam Smith’s Invisible Hand Is At Our Throats

    The “invisible hand”

    john_averyAs everyone knows, Adam Smith invented the theory that individual self-interest is, and ought to be, the main motivating force of human economic activity, and that, in effect, it serves the wider social interest. He put forward a detailed description of this concept in an immense book, “The Wealth of Nations” (1776).

    Adam Smith (1723-1790) had been Professor of Logic at the University of Glasgow, but in 1764 he withdrew from his position at the university to become the tutor of the young Duke of Buccleuch. In those days a Grand Tour of Europe was considered to be an important part of the education of a young nobleman, and Smith accompanied Buccleuch to the Continent. To while away the occasional dull intervals of the tour, Adam Smith began to write an enormous book on economics which he finally completed twelve years later.  He began his “Inquiry into the Nature and Causes of the Wealth of Nations” by praising division of labor. As an example of its benefits, he cited a pin factory, where ten men, each a specialist in his own set of operations, could produce 48,000 pins in a day. In the most complex civilizations, Smith stated, division of labor has the greatest utility.

    The second factor in prosperity, Adam Smith maintained, is a competitive market, free from monopolies and entirely free from governmental interference.  In such a system, he tells us, the natural forces of competition are able to organize even the most complex economic operations, and are able also to maximize productivity. He expressed this idea in the following words:

    “As every individual, therefore, endeavors as much as he can, both to employ his capital in support of domestic industry, and so to direct that industry that its produce may be of greatest value, each individual necessarily labours to render the annual revenue of the Society as great as he can.”

    “He generally, indeed, neither intends to promote the public interest, nor knows how much he is promoting it. By preferring the support of domestic to that of foreign industry, he intends only his own security; and by directing that industry in such a manner as its produce may be of greatest value, he intends only his own gain; and he is in this, as in many other cases, led by an invisible hand to promote an end that was no part of his intention. Nor is it always the worse for Society that it was no part of it. By pursuing his own interest, he frequently promotes that of Society more effectively than when he really intends to promote it.”

    In other words, Smith maintained that self-interest (even greed) is a sufficient guide to human economic actions. The passage of time has shown that he was right in many respects. The free market, which he advocated, has turned out to be the optimum prescription for economic growth. However, history has also shown that there is something horribly wrong or incomplete about the idea that individual self-interest alone, uninfluenced by ethical and ecological considerations, and totally free from governmental intervention, can be the main motivating force of a happy and just society. There has also proved to be something terribly wrong with the concept of unlimited economic growth. Here is what actually happened:

    Abuses during the early Industrial Revolution

    In preindustrial Europe, peasant farmers held a low but nevertheless secure position, protected by a web of traditional rights and duties. Their low dirt-floored and thatched cottages were humble but safe refuges. If a peasant owned a cow, it could be pastured on common land.

    With the invention of the steam engine and the introduction of spinning and weaving machines towards the end of the 18th Century, the pattern changed, at first in England, and afterwards in other European countries. Land-owners in Scotland and Northern England realized that sheep were more profitable to have on the land than “crofters” (i.e., small tenant farmers), and families that had farmed land for generations were violently driven from their homes with almost no warning. The cottages were afterwards burned to prevent the return of their owners.

    The following account of the Highland Clearances has been left by Donald McLeod, a crofter in the district of Sutherland: “The consternation and confusion were extreme. Little or no time was given for the removal of persons or property; the people striving to remove the sick or helpless before the fire should reach them; next struggling to save the most valuable of their effects. The cries of the women and children; the roaring of the affrighted cattle, hunted at the same time by the yelling dogs of the shepherds amid the smoke and fire, altogether presented a scene that completely baffles description – it required to be seen to be believed… The conflagration lasted for six days, until the whole of the dwellings were reduced to ashes and smoking ruins.”

    Between 1750 and 1860, the English Parliament passed a large number of “Enclosure Acts”, abolishing the rights of small farmers to pasture their animals on common land that was not under cultivation. The fabric of traditional rights and duties that once had protected the lives of small tenant farmers was torn to pieces. Driven from the land, poor families flocked to the towns and cities, hoping for employment in the textile mills that seemed to be springing up everywhere.

    According to the new rules by which industrial society began to be governed, traditions were forgotten and replaced by purely economic laws. Labor was viewed as a commodity, like coal or grain, and wages were paid according to the laws of supply and demand, without regard for the needs of the workers. Wages fell to starvation levels, hours of work increased, and working conditions deteriorated.

    John Fielden’s book, “The Curse of the Factory System” was written in 1836, and it describes the condition of young children working in the cotton mills. “The small nimble fingers of children being by far the most in request, the custom instantly sprang up of procuring ‘apprentices’ from the different parish workhouses of London, Birmingham and elsewhere… Overseers were appointed to see to the works, whose interest it was to work the children to the utmost, because their pay was in proportion to the quantity of pay that they could exact.”

    “Cruelty was, of course, the consequence; and there is abundant evidence on record to show that in many of the manufacturing districts, the most heart-rending cruelties were practiced on the unoffending and friendless creatures… that they were flogged, fettered and tortured in the most exquisite refinements of cruelty, that they were in many cases starved to the bone while flogged to their work, and that they were even in some instances driven to commit suicide… The profits of manufacture were enormous, but this only whetted the appetite that it should have satisfied.”

    Dr. Peter Gaskell, writing in 1833, described  the condition of the English mill workers as follows: “The vast deterioration in personal form which has been brought about in the manufacturing population during the last thirty years… is singularly impressive, and fills the mind with contemplations of a very painful character… Their complexion is sallow and pallid, with a peculiar flatness of feature caused by the want of a proper quantity of adipose substance to cushion out the cheeks. Their stature is low – the average height of men being five feet, six inches… Great numbers of the girls and women walk lamely or awkwardly… Many of the men have but little beard, and that in patches of a few hairs… (They have) a spiritless and dejected air, a sprawling and wide action of the legs…”

    “Rising at or before daybreak, between four and five o’clock the year round, they swallow a hasty meal or hurry to the mill without taking any food whatever… At twelve o’clock the engine stops, and an hour is given for dinner… Again they are closely immured from one o’clock till eight or nine, with the exception of twenty minutes, this being allowed for tea. During the whole of this long period, they are actively and unremittingly engaged in a crowded room at an elevated temperature.”

    Dr. Gaskell described the housing of the workers as follows: “One of the circumstances in which they are especially defective is that of drainage and water-closets. Whole ranges of these houses are either totally undrained, or very partially… The whole of the washings and filth from these consequently are thrown into the front or back street, which, often being unpaved and cut into deep ruts, allows them to collect into stinking and stagnant pools; while fifty, or even more than that number, having only a single convenience common to them all, it is in a very short time choked with excrementous matter. No alternative is left to the inhabitants but adding this to the already defiled street.”

    “It frequently happens that one tenement is held by several families… The demoralizing effects of this utter absence of domestic privacy must be seen before they can be thoroughly appreciated. By laying bare all the wants and actions of the sexes, it strips them of outward regard for decency – modesty is annihilated – the father and the mother, the brother and the sister, the male and female lodger, do not scruple to commit acts in front of each other which even the savage keeps hid from his fellows.”

    The landowners of Scotland were unquestionably following self-interest as they burned the cottages of their crofters; and self-interest motivated overseers as they whipped half-starved child workers in England’s mills. Adam Smith’s “invisible hand” no doubt guided their actions in such a way as to maximize production. But whether a  happy and just society was created in this way is questionable. Certainly it was a society with large areas of unhappiness and injustice. Self-interest alone was not enough. A society following purely economic laws, a society where selfishness is exalted as the mainspring for action, lacks both the ethical and ecological dimensions needed for social justice, widespread happiness, and sustainability.

    Our greed-based economic system today

    Today our greed-based, war addicted, and growth-obsessed economic system poses even greater threats than it did during the early phases of the Industrial Revolution. Today it threatens to destroy human civilization and much of the biosphere.

    According to a recently-published study by Oxfam, just 1 percent of the world’s population controls nearly half of the planet’s wealth. The study says that this tiny slice of humanity controls $110 trillion, or 65 times the total wealth of the poorest 3.5 billion people. The world’s 85 richest people own as much as the poorest 50 percent of humanity. 70 percent of the world’s people live in a country where income inequality has increased in the past three decades.

    This shocking disparity in wealth has lead to the decay of democracy in many countries, because the very rich have used their money to control governments, and also to control the mass media and hence to control public opinion. The actions of many governments today tend not to reflect what is good for the people (or, more crucially, what is good for the future of our planet), but rather what is good for special interest groups, for example, the fossil fuel industry and the military-industrial complex.

    An excellent description of the military-industrial complex was given by US President Dwight D. Eisenhower. When he retired, he made a memorable farewell address, containing the following words: “…We have been compelled to create an armaments industry of vast proportions. Added to this, three and a half million men are directly engaged in the defense establishment….In the councils of government, we must guard against the acquisition of unwarranted influence, whether sought or unsought, by the military-industrial complex. The potential for the disastrous rise of misplaced power exists and will persist. “

    In another speech, Eisenhower said: “Every gun that is made, every warship launched, every rocket fired, signifies in a final sense, a theft from those who hunger and are not fed, those who are cold and are not clothed. The world in arms is not spending money alone. It is spending the sweat of its laborers, the genius of its scientists, and the hopes of its children.”

    Today the world spends roughly 1,700,000,000,000 US  dollars on armaments, almost 2 trillion. This vast river of money, almost too great to be imagined, flows into the pockets of arms manufacturers, and is used by them to control governments, which in turn vote for bloated military budgets and aggressive foreign policies which provoke the endless crises and conflicts that are necessary to justify the diversion of such vast sums of money from urgently-needed social goals into the bottomless pit of war.

    The reelection of the slave-like politicians is ensured by the huge sums made available for their campaigns by the military-industrial complex. This pernicious circular flow of money, driving endless crises, has sometimes been called “The Devil’s Dynamo”. Thus the world is continually driven to the brink of thermonuclear war by highly dangerous interventions such as the recent ones in North Africa, the Middle East, Ukraine, South and Central America, and the Korean Peninsula.

    It is doubtful that any of the political or military figures involved with this arrogant risking of human lives and the human future have any imaginative idea of what a thermonuclear war would be like. In fact it would be an ecological catastrophe of huge proportions, making large areas of the world permanently uninhabitable through long-lived radioactive contamination. The damage to global agriculture would be so great as to produce famine leading to a billion or more deaths from starvation. All the nations of the earth would suffer, neutrals as well as belligerents.

    Besides supporting the appalling war machine, our bought-and-paid-for politicians also fail to take the actions that would be needed to prevent the worst effects of climate change. The owners of the fossil fuel industries have even mounted advertising campaigns to convince the public that the threat of anthropogenic climate change is not real. Sadly, the threat of catastrophic climate change is all too real, as 99 percent the worlds climate scientists have warned.

    The world has recently passed a dangerous landmark in CO2 concentration, 400 ppm. The last time that the earth experienced such high concentrations of this greenhouse gas were several million years ago. At that time the Arctic was free from ice, and sea levels were 40 meters higher than they are today. Global warming is a slow and long-term effect, so such high sea levels will be slow in arriving, but ultimately we must expect that coastal cities and much of the world’s low-lying land will be under water.  We must also expect many tropical regions of the world to become uninhabitable because of high temperatures. Finally, there is a threat of famine because agriculture will be hit by high temperatures and aridity.

    There are several very dangerous feedback loops that may cause the earth’s temperatures to rise much faster than has been predicted by the International Panel on Climate Change. By far the most dangerous of these comes from the melting of methane hydrate crystals that are currently trapped in frozen tundra and on the floor of seabeds.

    At high pressures, methane combines with water to form crystals called hydrates or clathrates. These crystals are stable at the temperatures currently existing on ocean floors, but whenever the water temperature rises sufficiently, the crystals become unstable and methane gas bubbles to the surface. This effect has already been observed in the Arctic seas north of Russia. The total amount of methane clathrates on ocean floors is not precisely known, but it is estimated to be very large indeed, corresponding to between 3,000 and 11,000 gigatons of carbon. The release of even a small fraction of this amount of methane into our atmosphere would greatly accelerate rising temperatures, leading to the release of still more methane, in a highly dangerous feedback loop. We must at all costs avoid global temperatures which will cause this feedback loop to trigger in earnest.

    Human motivations were not always so selfish

    For the reasons mentioned above, we can see that an economic system where selfishness and greed are exalted as the mainspring for human actions lacks both a social conscience and an ecological conscience. Both these dimensions are needed for the long-term survival of human civilization and the biosphere.

    We must remember, however, that the worship of the free market and the exaltation of selfishness are  relatively recent developments in human history. During most of their million-year history, humans lived in small groups, and sharing was part of their lifestyle. Perhaps that lifestyle is the one to which we should return if we wish the human future to stretch out for another million years.