Blog

  • 2014 Kelly Lecture Introduction

    David KriegerLet me add my welcome to this 13th annual Kelly Lecture on Humanity’s Future, featuring Professor Noam Chomsky.

    Thank you for being part of a community of peace and a conspiracy of decency.  Let me share a poem (of mine), which I think captures the spirit of Frank Kelly and our lecturer tonight.  It’s titled “A Conspiracy of Decency.”

    A CONSPIRACY OF DECENCY

    We will conspire to keep this blue dot floating and alive,
    to keep the soldiers from gunning down the children,

    to make the water clean and clear and plentiful,
    to put food on everybody’s table and hope in their hearts.

    We will conspire to find new ways to say People matter.
    This conspiracy will be bold.

    Everyone will dance at wholly inappropriate times.
    They will burst out singing non-patriotic songs.

    And the not-so-secret password will be Peace.

    This Lecture Series honors Frank K. Kelly.  He was an extraordinary man, who lived a long and active life.  He was a co-founder of the Nuclear Age Peace Foundation, and served for many years as its Senior Vice President.

    Frank had a robust optimism for humanity’s future.  He believed that everyone deserves a seat at humanity’s table, and he sought to do his part to create a world in which dignity and opportunity are accorded to every person.

    The Kelly Lecture on Humanity’s Future is a project of the Nuclear Age Peace Foundation.  Its purpose is the exploration and betterment of humanity’s future.  We’ve been fortunate to have had some deeply insightful lecturers, including Dame Anita Roddick, Mairead Corrigan Maguire, Frances Moore Lappe, Daniel Ellsberg and Dennis Kucinich.
    Tonight’s lecturer is a man who began his career in the halls of academia, but whose message has traveled far beyond the walls of academia.  He is one of the great public intellectuals of our time.  He is an intelligent man and a decent man.  His concerns and vision transcend national boundaries and encompass the world.

    He carries forward the tradition of Socrates, being a gadfly to those who would threaten our common future with their greed, arrogance, and myopic visions.

    In our society, Noam Chomsky has become synonymous with speaking truth to power.  He is a truth teller to other intellectuals, to those in positions of power and, most importantly, to the people.

    He has repeatedly sounded the warning about humanity’s need to protect our world, ourselves and future generations from environmental degradation, including climate change, and from nuclear weapons and the human fallibility and irrationality of those who control them – or think they do.

    He has stood firmly against those who would despoil the environment, and abuse the human rights and the dignity of any person.  He has stood against war and militarism, harking back to his courage in speaking out against America’s tragic war in Vietnam and continuing through America’s tragic wars in Iraq and Afghanistan.

    Noam Chomsky is a persevering peace leader, and a true and honorable human being.  He helps us to understand the world and its dangers, and inspires us to create a more peaceful and just world.  He honors us with his presence here.

    It is my pleasure tonight to present him with the Nuclear Age Peace Foundation’s Lifetime Achievement Award for Distinguished Peace Leadership.

  • Castle Bravo: Sixty Years of Nuclear Pain

    As the trustee of the United Nations Trust Territory of the Pacific Islands, the United States had an obligation to protect the health and welfare of the Marshall Islanders.  Instead, the U.S. conducted 67 nuclear tests in the Marshall Islands between 1946 and 1958.  These 67 nuclear tests had an explosive power equivalent to 1.6 Hiroshima bombs daily for 12 years.  In short, the U.S. used these islands shamefully, and the Marshallese people continue to suffer today as a result.

    Castle Bravo Nuclear ExplosionMarch 1, 2014 marks the 60th anniversary of the Castle Bravo nuclear test, the largest and most devastating nuclear test ever conducted by the U.S.  At 15-megatons, this single blast at Bikini Atoll in the Marshall Islands was 1,000 times more powerful than the atomic bomb dropped on Hiroshima.  Because the Castle Bravo test was done near ground level, the radiation fallout was far greater than that at either Hiroshima or Nagasaki, where the bombs were exploded well above ground level.

    According to a report presented to the U.N. Human Rights Council in September 2012 by Special Rapporteur Calin Georgescu, “Radiation from the testing resulted in fatalities and in acute and long-term health complications.  The effects of radiation have been exacerbated by near irreversible environmental contamination, leading to loss of livelihoods and lands.  Moreover, many people continue to experience indefinite displacement.”

    The Castle Bravo nuclear test rained down radiation like soft snow on the people of the Marshalls, who were located on islands outside the designated danger zone.  It was several days before the U.S. evacuated these people away from the radioactive danger, resulting in 60 years of pain, suffering and stillbirths.

    Radiation from the blast traveled over 100 miles to irradiate the Japanese fishing boat, Lucky Dragon.  The boat’s chief radio operator, Aikichi Kuboyama, died less than six months later of radiation poisoning.  He is thought to be the first Japanese victim of a hydrogen bomb.  Kuboyama’s last words were, “I pray that I am the last victim of an atomic or hydrogen bomb.”  This was not to be.

    March 1st will be solemnly remembered this 60th anniversary year in Asia and the Pacific.  In the Marshall Islands, flags will be flown at half-mast during the Nuclear Memorial and Survivors Remembrance Day.

    In the U.S., flags will not fly at half-mast.  Most people will go about their business with little awareness of the tragedy we left in the wake of our nuclear testing, either in the Pacific or on the lands of indigenous peoples in Nevada.  Again, on this 60th anniversary, there will be no apology.  Nor will there be adequate compensation provided to the people of the Marshall Islands for the pain and injury they have suffered from U.S. nuclear testing.

    The anniversary of Castle Bravo is an acute reminder that nuclear weapons leave a legacy of horror.  We must wage all-out peace until we reach Nuclear Zero.  For the sake of the seven billion of us who share this Earth and for the people of the future, we must strive to achieve Nuclear Zero, the only number that makes sense.  Nukes are nuts.

    David Krieger is President of the Nuclear Age Peace Foundation.

  • Noam Chomsky to Deliver 13th Annual Frank K. Kelly Lecture on Humanity’s Future

    Santa Barbara, CA – Noam Chomsky, arguably the single most influential living scholar in the world today, will deliver the 13th Annual Frank K. Kelly Lecture on Humanity’s Future on Friday, February 28, at 7:30 p.m. at the Lobero Theatre in downtown Santa Barbara.

    Professor Chomsky’s lecture is entitled “Security and State Policy.”

    A philosopher, cognitive scientist, logician, political commentator and activist, Professor Chomsky was an early and outspoken critic of U.S. involvement in the Vietnam War and has written extensively on many political issues from a progressive perspective. He contends that our world faces two potentially existential threats: the continued threat of nuclear war and the crisis of ecological, environmental catastrophe.

    Before Chomsky’s lecture, David Krieger, President of the Nuclear Age Peace Foundation, will present Professor Chomsky with the Foundation’s Lifetime Achievement Award for Distinguished Peace Leadership. Said Krieger, “We’re proud to present this award to Noam Chomsky. He is a truth-teller in the tradition of Socrates, being a gadfly to those who would threaten our common future with their greed and arrogance. We couldn’t have a more deserving recipient who epitomizes the essential spirit of both this award and of the Kelly Lecture series.”

    The Annual Frank K. Kelly Lecture on Humanity’s Future was established by the Nuclear Age Peace Foundation in 2001. Frank K. Kelly was a founder and senior vice president of the Foundation. His career included being a journalist, a soldier, a Neiman Fellow, a speechwriter for President Truman, assistant to the U.S. Senate Majority Leader, and vice president of the Center for the Study of Democratic Institutions.

    The event is sold out. However, the lecture will be live audio streamed courtesy of KCSB. In Santa Barbara, tune in to 91.9 FM, or listen online from anywhere in the world at kcsb.org.
    For more information visit www.wagingpeace.org or call (805) 965-3443.

  • Kuboyama

    Aikichi

    Kuboyama,

    forty years of age

    on March 1, 1954.

    Chief radio operator

    on the Lucky Dragon.

    When the nuclear fallout

    from the Bravo test

    contaminated

    your ship

    you were not so lucky.

    You were the first Japanese victim

    to die

    from an H-Bomb test.

    You prayed to be the last victim,

    but it was not

    to be.

    David Krieger is President of the Nuclear Age Peace Foundation.

  • Bravo: 60 Years of Suffering, Cover-Ups, Injustice

    Sixty years ago on March 1 in the heart of the Pacific Ocean, the United States detonated the most powerful nuclear weapon in its history.

    Codenamed Bravo, the 15-megaton hydrogen bomb was 1,000 times more powerful than the atomic bomb that devastated Hiroshima nine years earlier. The Bravo blast “represented as revolutionary an advance in explosive power over the atomic bomb as the atomic bomb had over the conventional weapons of World War II,” historian-lawyer Jonathan Weisgall notes.

    Castle Bravo Nuclear ExplosionAlso unlike Hiroshima’s A-bomb, Bravo was laced with plutonium, a most toxic element with a radioactive existence of half a million years that may be hazardous to humans for at least half that time.

    And, unlike the atomic airburst above Hiroshima, Bravo was a shallow-water ground burst.  It vaporized three of the 23 islands of tiny Bikini Atoll, 2,600 miles southwest of Hawaii, and created a crater that is visible from space.

    A fireball nearly as hot as the center of the sun sucked unto itself water, mud and millions of tons of coral that had been pulverized into ash by the incredible explosion; these clung to tons of radioactive uranium fragments.  The fireball swooshed heavenwards, forming a shimmering white mushroom cloud that hovered over the proving grounds of Bikini and Enewetak atolls, whose inhabitants had earlier been evacuated.

    Wafting eastward, the cloud powdered 236 islanders on Rongelap and Utrik atolls and 28 U.S. servicemen. The islanders played with, drank and ate the snowflake-like particles for days and began suffering nausea, hair loss, diarrhea and skin lesions when they were finally evacuated to a U.S. military clinic.

    These islanders had become a unique medical case. As scientist Neal Hines explains, “Never before in history had an isolated human population been subjected to high but sublethal amounts of radioactivity without the physical and psychological complexities associated with nuclear explosion.”

    Bravo bequeathed the world a new word: fallout.  Even before Bravo, experts—but not the public–knew that the radioactive dust of atmospheric nuclear weapons explosions was invisibly powdering the continental U.S. and touching others worldwide. But Bravo for the first time revealed to the world a new kind of invisible menace, a danger that could not be smelled, seen, felt or tasted.  Bravo exposed radioactive fallout as, what Weisgall calls, “a biological weapon of terror.” It visibly ushered in the globalization of radioactive pollution.

    For these islanders, Bravo also ushered in 60 years of sufferings and a chain reaction of U.S. cover-ups and injustices, as detailed below.  Over the decades, their pleas for just and adequate compensation and U.S. constitutional rights they had been promised were rejected by the U.S. courts, including the U.S. Supreme Court, by Congress and by executive-branch administrations headed by presidents of either party.

    SNUBBED BY “AMERICA’S FIRST PACIFIC PRESIDENT”

    The silence by today’s administration of President Obama is acutely embarrassing, given that shortly after his election he described himself as “America’s first Pacific president,” and promised to “strengthen and sustain our leadership in this vitally important part of the world.”

    Since then, Obama has initiated a “pivot” to the Pacific by beefing up and re-positioning U.S.  military units in the region.  But he failed to acknowledge or recognize that these remote Pacific atolls had served after World War II as proving grounds vital for U.S. superpower status today.  They provided sites for nuclear-weapons tests too powerful and unpredictable to be detonated in the 48 contiguous states and for tests enabling the transition in nuclear delivery systems from conventional bombers to intercontinental missiles—Star-War-like tests that still continue.

    More recently, also ignoring the moral implications undergirding Marshallese pleas, Secretary of Defense Chuck Hagel called on U.S. military leaders to better instill ethics in their services so as to ensure “moral character and moral courage.”

    He issued his instructions for more accountability in the wake of investigations into cheating scandals on proficiency and training tests given to nuclear-related personnel in the Navy and Air Force. The Pentagon is also investigating possible illegal drug violations by 11 Air Force officers, including some responsible for launching America’s deadly nuclear missiles.

    U.N. CRITICIZES U.S. ON HUMAN RIGHTS

    If U.S. nuclear weapons testing in the Pacific is un-remembered by the American government, it has not been forgotten internationally.  While the U.S. regularly castigates the governments of China and Russia for human rights abuses or violations, a special United Nations report urges the U.S. government to remedy and compensate Marshall Islanders for its nuclear weapons testing that has caused “immediate and lasting effects” on their human rights.

    “Radiation from the testing resulted in fatalities and in acute and long-term health complications,” according to the report presented to the U.N. Human Rights Council in September 2012 by Special Rapporteur Calin Georgescu.  “The effects of radiation have been exacerbated by near-irreversible environmental contamination, leading to the loss of livelihoods and lands.  Moreover, many people continue to experience indefinite displacement.”

    The report also urged the U.S. to provide more compensation and to consider issuing a presidential acknowledgment and apology to victims adversely affected by its tests.

    The international community and the U.N. “has an ongoing obligation to encourage a final and just resolution for the Marshallese people,” the report reads, because they placed the Marshallese under the U.S.-administered strategic trusteeship for 40-plus years from 1947 until 1990. These international groups might consider a more comprehensive compilation of scientific findings “on this regrettable episode in human history.”

    As the sole administrator for the U.N.-sanctioned trust territory, the U.S. government pledged in 1947 “to protect the inhabitants against the loss of their lands and resources.”  Instead, the U.S. from 1946 to 1958 conducted 67 atomic and hydrogen tests in the Marshall Islands, with a total yield of 108 megatons, which is 98 times greater than the total yield of all the U.S. nuclear tests conducted in Nevada and is equivalent to 7,200 Hiroshima-size bombs.  That works out to an average of more than 1.6 Hiroshima-size bombs per day for the 12 years.

    In addition, the U.S. as the trust administrator was obliged “to protect the health of the inhabitants.” But the Bravo blast, more than any other single detonation, made visible to the world the adverse health and environmental effects these islanders suffered.  Bravo was the first  U.S. hydrogen device that could be delivered by airplane and was designed to catch up with the Soviets who had six months earlier exploded their aircraft-deliverable hydrogen bomb.

    A CHAIN REACTION OF COVER-UPS & “ASHES OF DEATH”

    A U.S. cover-up began just hours after the Bravo weapon was detonated.   Hardly a “routine atomic test” as it was officially described, Bravo initially created a radioactive, leaf-shaped plume that turned into a lethal zone covering 7,000 square miles—that is, the distance from Washington to New York. Then, radioactive snow-like particles began descending 100 to 280 miles away over lands, lagoons and inhabitants of Rongelap and Utrik atolls.  Within three days, 236 islanders were evacuated to a U.S. Navy clinic.

    The U.S. had hoped to keep the evacuation secret but a personal letter from Corporal Don Whitaker to his hometown newspaper in Cincinnati shared his observations of the distraught islanders arriving at the clinic.  The U.S. then issued a press release saying the islanders were “reported well.”  But gripping photographs taken at the time and later published in the Journal of the American Medical Association documented a 7-year-old girl whose hair had tufted out and a 13-year-old boy with a close-up of the back of the head showing a peeling off of the skin, a loss of hair and a persistent sore on his left ear. Others had lower blood counts that weaken resistance to infections.  Decades later, in 1982, a U.S. agency described Bravo as “the worst single incident of fallout exposures in all the U.S. atmospheric testing program.”Just days after the Cincinnati newspaper expose, another surprise stunned the U.S. government and the world. News accounts reported 23 crew members of a Japanese tuna trawler, the No. 5 Fukuryu Maru (the “Lucky Dragon”) had also been Bravo-dusted with what is known in Japan as shi no hai, or “ashes of death.”

    When the trawler reached home port near Tokyo two weeks after the Bravo explosion, the crews’ radiation sickness and the trawler’s radioactive haul of tuna shocked U.S. officials and created panic at fish markets in Japan and the West Coast. The Japanese government and public described the Lucky Dragon uproar as “a second Hiroshima” and it nearly led to severing diplomatic relations.

    A U.S. doctor dispatched by the government to Japan predicted the crew would recover within a month.  But, six months later, the Lucky Dragon’s 40-year-old radio operator, Aikichi Kuboyama, died.  The New York Times described him as “probably the world’s first hydrogen-bomb casualty.”

    The U.S. cover stories for Bravo’s disastrous results plus subsequent official cover-ups at the time—and continuing today–were that the might of the Bravo shot was greater than had been expected and that the winds shifted at the last minute unexpectedly to waft radioactivity over inhabited areas.  Both cover stories have since been rebutted by revelations in once-secret official documents and by testimonies of two U.S. servicemen who were also Bravo-dusted on Rongerik Atoll.

    A STRING OF UNENDING INJUSTICES

    Within days after the Bravo shot, the U.S. cover-up had secretly taken a more menacing turn.  In an injustice exposing disregard for human health, the Bravo-exposed islanders were swept into a top-secret project in which they were used as human subjects to research the effects of radioactive fallout.

    A week after Bravo, on March 8, at the Navy clinic on Kwajalein, E.P. Cronkite, one of the U.S. medical personnel dispatched there shortly after the islanders’ arrival, was handed a “letter of instruction” establishing “Project 4.1.” It was titled the “Study of Response of Human Beings Exposed to Significant Beta and Gamma Radiation Due to Fallout from High Yield Weapons.” To avoid negative publicity, the document had been classified as “Secret Restricted Data” until 1994, four years after the end of U.S. responsibilities for its trusteeship at the U.N. and when the Clinton Administration began an open-government initiative.
    It would be 40 years before islanders learned the true nature of Project 4.1.  Documents declassified since 1994 show that four months before the Bravo shot, on November 10, 1953, U.S. officials had listed Project 4.1 to research the effects of fallout radiation on human beings as among 48 experiments to be conducted during the test, thus seeming to indicate that using islanders as guinea pigs was premeditated. However, an advisory commission appointed by President Clinton in 1994 indicated “there was insufficient evidence to demonstrate intentional human testing on Marshallese.”

    For this human-subject research, the islanders had neither been asked nor gave their informed consent—which was established as an essential international standard when the Nuremberg code was written following the war crimes convictions of German medical officers.

    Under Project 4.1, the exposed Rongelapese were studied yearly and so were the Utrik Islanders after thyroid nodules began appearing on them in 1963. The islanders began complaining they were being treated like guinea pigs in a laboratory experiment rather than sick humans deserving treatment.  A doctor who evaluated them annually came close to agreeing when he wrote 38 years after Bravo, “In retrospect, it was unfortunate that the AEC [Atomic Energy Commission], because it was a research organization, did not include support of basic health care of populations under study.”

    During this time, Bravo-dusted islanders developed one of the world’s highest rates of thyroid abnormalities; one third of the Rongelapese developed abnormalities in the thyroid, which controls physical and mental growth, and thus resulted in some cases of mental retardation, lack of vigor and stunted development. Islanders complained of stillborn births, cancers and genetic damage.

    Seven weeks after Bravo, on April 21, Cronkite recommended to military officials that exposed Marshallese generally “should be exposed to no further radiation” for at least 12 years and probably for the rest of their natural lives.

    Yet, three years later, U.S. officials returned the Rongelapese to their radioactive homeland after they had spent three months at the Kwajalein military facility and at Ejit Island.  Besides being Bravo-dusted, their homeland by 1957 had accumulated radioactivity from some of the 34 prior nuclear explosions in the Marshall Islands.  Utrik Islanders were returned home by the U.S. shortly after their medical stay on Kwajalein.

    For 28 years the Rongelapese lived in their radioactive homeland until 1985.  Unable to get answers to their questions, they discounted U.S. assurances that their island was safe.  Failing to provide the Rongelapese “information on their total radiation condition, information that is available, amounts to a coverup,” according to a memo dated July 22, 1985 written by Tommy McCraw of the U.S. Department of Energy’s Office of Nuclear Safety.

    In mid-1985, when the U.S. refused to move them, 300 Rongelapese persuaded the environmental organization Greenpeace to transport them and 100 tons of their building materials 110 miles away to Majetto Island. Many of them have since stayed there because they fear their homeland is still too radioactive even though the U.S. has funded resettlement facilities.

    NEW AGREEMENTS BUILT ON U.S. SECRECY

    In 1986, President Reagan signed the Compact of Free Association with related agreements after its ratification by the central government of the Republic of the Marshall Islands (RMI) and the U.S. Congress, thus ending bilaterally America’s trusteeship arrangement, which was continued by the U.N. Security Council until 1990.

    The Compact recognizes RMI as a sovereign, self-governing independent nation in terms of internal management and international relations but with significant U.S. economic aid and services and continues to reserve to the U.S. government sole military access to RMI’s 700,000 square miles used still for long-range missile tests.

    Yet, during the Compact negotiations, the U.S. government failed to disclose material information about its testing program to the Pacific Islanders.  Not until 1994 did the U.S. government respond favorably to RMI’s Freedom of Information Act request for details about the total number of nuclear tests conducted in its territories as well as the kind and yield of each test.  Newly declassified information then also revealed that more islanders were exposed to radiation than previously admitted by the U.S.  As late as June 2013 the U.S. gave RMI officials 650-plus pages detailing freshly declassified fallout results of 49 Pacific hydrogen-bomb blasts with an explosive force equal to 3,200 Hiroshima-size bombs conducted in only two years–1956 and 1958.

    While the Marshallese were kept in the dark during negotiations about material information, the U.S. crafted Compact agreements that included a provision prohibiting those inhabitants from seeking future legal redress in the U.S. courts and dismissing all current court cases in exchange for a $150 million compensation trust fund to be administered by a Nuclear Claims Tribunal.

    However, that trust fund is now depleted. That fund proved inadequate to pay $14 million in monies already awarded for personal health claims and 712 of those granted awards (42%) have died without receiving their full payments. The nuclear-weapons tests are presumed by the U.S. to have afflicted many Marshallese with various kinds of cancers and other diseases. A Congressional Research Service Report for Congress in March 2005 indicates that “as many as 4,000 claims may have yet to be filed among persons alive during testing.”

    A Marshallese petition sent to the House Speaker and President Bush on Sept. 11, 2000 states that circumstances have changed since the initial agreements and the Marshallese government demands far more in just and adequate compensation for health and property claims.  But those demands for justice have thus far gone unanswered.

    March 1 will be solemnly remembered in Asia and the Pacific.  In the Marshall Islands flags are flown at half-mast during the Nuclear Memorial and Survivors Remembrance Day. Last year on the anniversary of the Bravo shot, Marshallese President Christopher J. Loeak described March 1 as “a day that has and will continue to remain in infamy in the hearts and minds of every Marshallese.” He renewed his call for President Obama and the U.S. government for justice.

    This year President Loeak is scheduled in February for a state visit to Japan. He will meet with Emperor Akhito and Prime Minister Shinzo Abe and journey to the Hiroshima Peace Park and Memorial Museum.

    With the approaching 60th anniversary of the Bravo blast, Loeak might also visit a pavilion exhibiting the hull of the ill-fated Lucky Dragon fishing trawler and a marker commemorating its 450 tons of radioactive tuna that touched off worldwide alarms.

    The Lucky Dragon and Hiroshima beseech “America’s first Pacific president” and the world to reflect on the catastrophic horror of nuclear weapons and to rectify their bitter legacy of lingering injustices.

    Beverly Deepe Keever is author of News Zero: The New York Times and the Bomb and of Death Zones and Darling Spies: Seven Years of Vietnam War Reporting.
  • Building the Morale of Missileers

    A recent news story in the Global Security Newswire stated, “Top U.S. military leaders are personally reaching out to missileers at the Montana base that has become ground zero for an Air Force probe into exam cheating.”  It went on, “Defense Secretary Chuck Hagel on Saturday called six launch officers during their shifts at underground launch control centers, according to a Pentagon press story. Speaking on the phone calls for roughly an hour, the defense chief voiced his assurance that the launch officers were up to the task of carrying out the U.S. nuclear mission, said Pentagon officials.” (Hagel, Air Force Brass Reach Out to Montana Missile Officers, GSN, February 4, 2014)

    One can only imagine what was said in those morale building talks.

    Hagel: Howdy, missileer, this is Chuck.  How’s everything down in your bunker?

    Missile Launch Officer: Just fine, sir, lit up like a shopping mall. Chuck who?

    Hagel: The Secretary of Defense, Chuck Hagel.

    MLO: Nice of you to call, sir.  I wasn’t expecting it.  Are you calling to give the order to turn my key?

    Hagel: No, nothing like that.  I just want to check in with you and see how your morale is doing.

    MLO: My morale is sky high, sir.

    Hagel: You’re not taking drugs, are you?

    MLO: Not now, sir.  I’m studying up for my next proficiency test.

    Hagel: I hope you know that you’re doing this country a great service.

    MLO: By studying for my proficiency test?

    Hagel: Well, there’s that, but I’m proud of you for being willing to turn your key when ordered and attack our enemies.

    MLO: Thank you, sir.  I’m ever vigilant, waiting for my orders.

    Hagel: That a boy.  Of course, we hope those orders will never come, but we must be ready 24 hours a day.

    MLO: Yes, sir, I couldn’t be readier.  I dream about being able to blow up the world.

    Hagel: That may be carrying it just a bit too far.

    MLO: Gotcha, Chuck, I don’t really dream about it.  Maybe I daydream about it sometimes.  But I’m ready to do it, for my country.

    Hagel: That’s the spirit, young man.  It sounds like your morale is just fine.

    MLO: Just give me the orders, and I’ll be ready.

    Hagel: What could I do to boost your morale even higher?

    MLO: Maybe you could have some movies for us while we’re on duty.  It gets awfully boring down here.

    Hagel:  Why not?  What’s your favorite movie, son?

    MLO: Dr. Strangelove, sir.  It’s the favorite of all the missile launch officers.

    Hagel: Son, it’s been good talking to you.

    MLO: And perhaps some munchies with the movies.

    Hagel: As I said, it’s been good talking with you.

    MLO: And allow us to bring dates into the bunkers for the movies.

    Hagel: That’s not going to happen.

    MLO: And perhaps an occasional visit by the president or first lady.

    Hagel: That’s unlikely.

    MLO: Sir, you’re wrecking my morale.

    Hagel: I’ve got to get on with my next call.

    MLO: I don’t feel like studying anymore.

    Hagel: Please, son.

    MLO: Call again any time.

    This article was originally published by Truthout.

    David Krieger is President of the Nuclear Age Peace Foundation.

  • Speech in House of Representatives

    Earl BlumenauerMr. Speaker, before turning to the subject at hand, I really hope that people look at the CBO report that was referenced by my good friend from Pennsylvania, and you will find that the 2 million people who would no longer be working, are not going to increase unemployment. The unemployment rate will be lower. There are people who are trapped in the workforce now because they can’t afford health care. The Affordable Care Act will actually enable some people to retire who want to retire or stop working a second job. Read the report and find out that this is actually a very positive signal.

    But, Mr. Speaker, I am here today to reference something else that was in the newspapers. The papers are filled with scandal about the nuclear weapons program. The real scandal is not the cheating or drug use by people with their finger on the nuclear button. The scandal is that these people are there on the job at all, with these nuclear weapons; jobs and nuclear weapons that should no longer exist.

    Don’t get me wrong. The alleged drug use by the people who stand watch daily with a finger on the nuclear trigger, or that were cheating on their proficiency exams, is outrageous, but it is scandalous that we are frozen in time linked to a nuclear Cold War past and committed to wildly wasteful spending.

    These are weapons that have never been used in 69 years, that did not deter the 9/11 attackers, and cannot help us in our major strategic challenges today. They have never been used in battle since World War II, but they have almost been used by miscalculation and mistake.

    In Eric Schlosser’s recent book called “Command and Control,” there are terrifying examples of what were termed “broken arrows,” nuclear mishaps.

    A nuclear bomb was accidentally released over South Carolina, landing in Walter Greg’s backyard, leaving a 75-foot wide, 30-foot crater, leveling his home. Luckily, it failed to trigger the nuclear explosion.

    In North Carolina, a B-52 fell into a tailspin carrying two hydrogen bombs, each 250 times more powerful than Hiroshima.

    There were numerous instances when our bomber fleet, which used to be on the runway idling, on alert 24/7, was prone to catching on fire while packed with nuclear bombs.

    A few years ago, there was a B-52 which flew across the country unknowingly carrying six nuclear-armed air-launched missiles.

    By no stretch of the imagination, do we need these 450 intercontinental ballistic missiles on alert, plus nuclear armed bombers, all on top of our nuclear submarine-based missiles? We don’t need a fraction of this weaponry. At most, we need perhaps one scaled-down system. There is nobody left to deter. We are competing in Russia in the Winter Olympics right now.

    A small portion of one of these delivery systems is all the nuclear deterrence we could ever possibly need. The larger and more complex the infrastructure is not just more expensive, but more prone to mistake.

    We are talking about upwards of $700 billion over the next 10 years in operations, modernization, new systems, new nuclear submarines. It is outrageous. It is dangerous. Let me put that in context. $750 billion is more than the Federal Government will spend on education in its entirety in the next 5 years.

    It is time for Congress and the American people to put an end to this.
    Earl Blumenauer is a member of the U.S. House of Representatives, representing Portland, Oregon.

  • Sunflower Newsletter February 2014

    Issue #199 – February 2014

    Facebook Twitter More...

    The Sunflower is a monthly e-newsletter providing educational information on nuclear weapons abolition and other issues relating to global security. Help us spread the word and forward this to a friend.

    Please donate to help sustain this valuable resource.

    Subscribe to the Nuclear Age Peace Foundation’s Sunflower newsletter and Action Alert Network.

    • Perspectives
      • An Open Letter to College and University Presidents by David Krieger
      • The Fragility of Our Complex Civilization by John Scales Avery
      • Nukes Are Nuts: The Sequel by David Krieger
    • US Nuclear Weapons Policy
      • Enhanced Military Capabilities of U.S. Nuclear Bomb
    • Nuclear Proliferation
      • Temporary Nuclear Deal With Iran Takes Effect
    • Nuclear Insanity
      • Strategic Deterrent Coalition
      • Land-Based Nuclear Missile Officers in Multiple Scandals
      • North Korean Leader May Not Be Consistently Rational
    • Nuclear Testing
      • National Cancer Institute to Study Health Effects of First Nuclear Test
      • 60th Anniversary of Largest U.S. Nuclear Test
    • War and Peace
      • Latin American and Caribbean Nations Proclaim Zone of Peace
    • Resources
      • Eight Ways You’re Wrong About Iran’s Nuclear Program
      • New Nuclear Disarmament Community Online
      • Banning Nuclear Weapons: A Pacific Islands Perspective
    • Foundation Activities
      • Noam Chomsky to Deliver NAPF 2014 Kelly Lecture
      • Peace Leadership Training in San Diego
      • Mexico Conference on Humanitarian Impacts of Nuclear Weapons
      • Nukes Are Nuts Video Contest Announced
    • Quotes

     

    Perspectives

    An Open Letter to College and University Presidents

     

    You are in a unique position of leadership to influence today’s youth to achieve a better tomorrow for America and the world. I am writing to enlist your help in educating young people to understand the survival challenges that face humanity in the 21st century.

    Education is driven by values. Young people must learn to live with reverence for life, as did Albert Schweitzer, and to support equitable and nonviolent solutions to social problems, as did Gandhi and Martin Luther King, Jr. Young people must be imbued with compassion, commitment and courage. They must learn to use their imaginations to find creative and cooperative solutions to the great issues of our time. And they must find joy in the process and take time to celebrate the miracle of living on the only planet we know of in the universe that supports life.

    To read more, click here.

    The Fragility of Our Complex Civilization

     

    Cultural evolution depends on the non-genetic storage, transmission, diffusion and utilization of information. The development of human speech, the invention of writing, the development of paper and printing, and finally, in modern times, mass media, computers and the Internet: all these have been crucial steps in society’s explosive accumulation of information and knowledge. Human cultural evolution proceeds at a constantly-accelerating speed, so great in fact that it threatens to shake society to pieces.

    The great and complex edifice of human civilization is far too precious to be risked in a thermonuclear war. It has been built by all humans, working together. By working together, we must now ensure that it is handed on intact to our children and grandchildren.

    To read more, click here.

    Nukes Are Nuts: The Sequel

     

    Nuclear weapons are monstrous and obscene explosive devices that have no function other than to threaten or cause mass annihilation. They kill indiscriminately and cause unimaginable suffering. The world knows well the death, destruction and lingering pain caused by these weapons at Hiroshima and Nagasaki. Nuclear weapons could end civilization and have no place in a civilized society. Nukes are nuts!

    To read more, click here.

    US Nuclear Weapons Policy

    Enhanced Military Capabilities of U.S. Nuclear Bomb

     

    Over 2 1/2 years ago, the Federation of American Scientists claimed that the planned Life Extension Program for the B61 nuclear bomb would provide new military capabilities to attack targets with greater accuracy and less radioactive fallout. In January, former U.S. Air Force Chief of Staff, Gen. Norton Schwartz, confirmed that the B61-12 would indeed have new military capabilities.

    Critics claim that “the increased accuracy and lower yield options could make the B61-12 more attractive to use because of reduced collateral damage and radioactive fallout.” The development of the B61-12 contradicts the 2010 Nuclear Posture Review, which declared that Life Extension Programs for U.S. nuclear weapons would “not support new military missions or provide for new military capabilities.”

    Hans M. Kristensen, “General Confirms Enhanced Targeting Capabilities of B61-12 Nuclear Bomb,” FAS Strategic Security Blog, January 23, 2014.

    Nuclear Proliferation

    Temporary Nuclear Deal With Iran Takes Effect

     

    Under a short-term agreement that went into effect on January 20, the United States granted Iran “limited, targeted and reversible sanctions relief for a six-month period.” The deal, which will expire in July 2014, was the result of Tehran’s agreement to suspend its uranium fuel-enrichment and other parts of its nuclear program, and disable thousands of centrifuges.

    However, Western nations, particularly Israel, remain skeptical of Iran’s long-term intentions. Iran continues to be adamant that its nuclear program is for peaceful purposes only.

    Rick Gladstone and Thomas Erdbrink, “Temporary Nuclear Deal With Iran Takes Effect,” The New York Times, January 20, 2014.

    Nuclear Insanity

    Strategic Deterrent Coalition

     

    The newly formed Strategic Deterrent Coalition, led by Albuquerque business leader Sherman McCorkle, seeks to raise awareness of the U.S. nuclear weapons complex and protect the massive budgets of these facilities. The coalition’s primary goal is to defend the nuclear triad (intercontinental ballistic missiles, submarine, and long-range bombers) against sensible proposals to eliminate one or more of its component parts in a post-Cold War world in which the U.S. and other nuclear-armed states are obligated to negotiate in good faith for Nuclear Zero.

    Michael Coleman, “New Coalition Defends U.S. Nuclear Complex,” Albuquerque Journal, January 9, 2014.

    Land-Based Nuclear Missile Officers in Multiple Scandals

     

    Defense Secretary Chuck Hagel has begun a campaign to define and remedy troubles that plague the U.S. nuclear force. A progressively worsening scandal was revealed in January that started with missile officers around the country being investigated for illegal drug use. That investigation quickly grew to include accusations of at least 92 out of the 500 missile officers cheating on proficiency tests. Hagel has summoned top officials to the Pentagon and said he will form an expert group of military outsiders to perform a broader review of the U.S. nuclear force.

    Secretary Hagel reported to top officials that “personnel failures within this force threaten to jeopardize the trust the American people have placed in us to keep our nuclear weapons safe and secure.” The problem, however, is not simply a personnel issue. It is the unnecessary and insane nuclear mission that is at the heart of the low morale of missile launch officers and their generals alike.

    Robert Burns, “Hagel Vows to Get to Bottom of Nuke Missile Ills,” Associated Press, January 23, 2014.

    North Korean Leader May Not Be Consistently Rational

     

    Navy Admiral Samuel Lacklear, head of U.S. military forces in the Pacific, has expressed concern about Kim Jong Un’s decision-making abilities, saying that the North Korean leader has made the Pacific region a “very dangerous place.”

    Admiral Lacklear’s comments come after a series of actions, including the execution of Kim’s uncle, Jang Song Thaek, and increased military and nuclear productivity that has antagonized the U.S., raising fears and anxieties among senior military officials.

    Rachel Oswald, “U.S. Commander: North Korean Leader May Not Be Consistently ‘Rational’,” Global Security Newswire, January 23, 2014.

    Nuclear Testing

    National Cancer Institute to Study Health Effects of First Nuclear Test

     

    After nearly seven decades, the National Cancer Institute (NCI) is conducting a study to determine the health effects of the 1945 Trinity Site atomic test on New Mexico residents. The study is designed to determine the specific radiation doses to which the “Trinity downwinders” were subjected during the test. It was prompted by the conclusion of a 10-year study by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) that found radiation levels at homes near the Los Alamos National Laboratory were almost 10,000 times the accepted levels.

    NCI scientists will be focusing on the diets and lifestyles of New Mexico residents who were children at the time of the blast. The NCI study notes that diets are important in studying radiation levels because contaminated foods, including dairy products, can be a significant source of radiation.

    Dennis J. Carroll, “Downwinders Welcome Study of Trinity Blast’s Impacts,” Santa Fe New Mexican, January 25, 2014.

    60th Anniversary of Largest U.S. Nuclear Test

     

    March 1 will mark the 60th anniversary of Castle Bravo, an atmospheric nuclear weapon test conducted by the United States near Bikini Atoll in the Marshall Islands in 1954. The hydrogen bomb had a yield of 15 megatons, 1,000 times more powerful than the bomb that destroyed Hiroshima. It was the largest weapon ever tested by the United States.

    Radioactive fallout from the explosion heavily contaminated Rongelap and Utirik atolls, but the residents of these islands were not evacuated for three days. A Japanese fishing vessel, the Lucky Dragon, was in the radioactive fallout path, which created a strong reaction against atmospheric nuclear testing among the people of Japan.

    Rongelap Atoll continues to have high levels of radiation in many areas, and many Rongelap natives believe it is not yet safe to return to their homeland 60 years later.

    For more information on the Castle Bravo test and its consequences, visit the Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty Organization’s page here.

    War and Peace

    Latin American and Caribbean Nations Proclaim Zone of Peace

     

    On January 28 and 29, the Heads of State and Government of the Community of Latin American and Caribbean States (CELAC) gathered in Havana, Cuba, to sign a proclamation of their region as a zone of peace.

    The proclamation contains the nations’ “permanent commitment to solve disputes through peaceful means with the aim of uprooting forever threat or use of force in our region.” The proclamation also declares a “commitment of the States of the region to continue promoting nuclear disarmament as a priority objective and to contribute with general and complete disarmament, to foster the strengthening of confidence among nations.”

    To read the full CELAC proclamation, click here.

    Resources

    Eight Ways You’re Wrong About Iran’s Nuclear Program

     

    The National Interest has published a report by Yousaf Butt that debunks eight false assertions about Iran and its nuclear program.

    The report begins, “Oft repeated but false assertions about Iran’s nuclear program – and the recent deal to tamp it down – may end up being more dangerous than the program itself. These wrong statements reinforce each other, get amplified in the media, and are fueling a march to military action.”

    To read the full report, click here.

    New Nuclear Disarmament Community Online

     

    NAPF’s Geneva Representative, Christian N. Ciobanu, is developing a unique online nuclear disarmament community on Goodwall.org, “the social network to do good.” The social network will be officially launched on February 6, 2014, but the beta version is online now.

    Members of the community can write, comment, follow posts and stories, and share them on their Facebook and Twitter accounts.

    To join Goodwall.org, click here. For further information, please contact Christian N. Ciobanu at christian.ciobanu@graduateinstitute.ch.

    Banning Nuclear Weapons: A Pacific Islands Perspective

     

    The International Campaign to Abolish Nuclear Weapons (ICAN), of which NAPF is a member, has published a new report entitled “Banning Nuclear Weapons: A Pacific Islands Perspective.” The report details the ongoing humanitarian impact of nuclear weapons testing in the Pacific. March 1 will mark the 60th anniversary of the infamous “Bravo” nuclear test at Bikini Atoll in the Marshall Islands, which spread radioactive fallout over inhabited islands. From 1946 to 1996, at least 315 nuclear test explosions were conducted across the Pacific region by France, the United Kingdom and the United States.

    The author of the report, Nic Maclellan, said, “Pacific island nations – which understand all too well the horrific effects of nuclear weapons – are perfectly placed to play a leadership role in the process to negotiate a ban on nuclear weapons, which will help ensure that no one else suffers as they have suffered.”

    To download a copy of the report, click here.

    Foundation Activities

    Noam Chomsky to Deliver NAPF 2014 Kelly Lecture

     

    Professor Noam Chomsky will deliver the Nuclear Age Peace Foundation’s 13th Annual Frank K. Kelly Lecture on Humanity’s Future on February 28 at 7:30 p.m. in Santa Barbara, California. Professor Chomsky will speak on “Security and State Policy.”

    Tickets are sold out, but the lecture will be live audio streamed courtesy of KCSB. To listen to the lecture live at 7:30 p.m. Pacific Time on February 28, go to kcsb.org. If you live in the Santa Barbara area, you can also tune in to KCSB on the radio at 91.9 FM.

    Video of the lecture will be available as soon as possible following the event.

    Peace Leadership Training in San Diego

     

    From January 6-10, NAPF Peace Leadership Director Paul K. Chappell presented his five-day Peace Leadership Training as a graduate course at the University of San Diego School of Leadership and Education Sciences. Attended primarily by a select group of Ph.D. students and community activists, the course covered the type of leadership that is needed today, the type of leadership taught by Gandhi and Martin Luther King, Jr. The course focused on nonviolence and new ways to wage peace.

    To read testimonials from the course, click here.

    For more information on Peace Leadership lectures and trainings, click here.

    Mexico Conference on Humanitarian Impacts of Nuclear Weapons

     

    NAPF Director of Programs Rick Wayman, New York Representative Alice Slater and Geneva Representative Christian N. Ciobanu will attend the Second Conference on the Humanitarian Impacts of Nuclear Weapons, which is hosted by the Mexican Ministry of Foreign Affairs. They will attend the official government conference as observers, with many opportunities to speak with representatives of countries around the world who are concerned about this issue. They will also participate in strategy sessions with representatives of dozens of non-governmental organizations from around the world.

    In January, NAPF sent out an action alert encouraging President Obama to send a U.S. delegation to the conference in Mexico. Thus far, the U.S. has played a negative role, discouraging countries from examining the humanitarian consequences of nuclear weapons and actively choosing not to participate in such international forums. Click here to take action.

    Nukes Are Nuts Video Contest Announced

     

    NAPF’s 2014 video contest has officially launched. The contest is open to people of all ages around the world. To enter, make a video of 30 seconds or less about why you think nuclear weapons are nuts (as in “crazy”). Top videos are eligible for cash prizes and Nukes Are Nuts gear.

    For more information and full contest rules, click here.

    Quotes

     

    “To modernize your nuclear weapons stockpile and assure that they continue to stay secure and safe, it takes money, it takes resources.”

    — U.S. Secretary of Defense Chuck Hagel.

     

    “The pressure is on for the U.S. to rebuild a cold war nuclear arsenal over the next 30 years…[but] as the threat goes down, we plan to spend more. In an age of budget constraint, it is hard to see how an increase in nuclear weapons spending is needed or aids American security.”

    Jon Wolfsthal, Deputy Director of the James Martin Center for Nonproliferation Studies, in an essay on the Huffington Post.

     

    “One man in the right makes a majority.”

    Abraham Lincoln (1809-1865), 16th U.S. President. This quote appears in the book Speaking of Peace: Quotations to Inspire Action, edited by NAPF President David Krieger.

    Editorial Team

     

    Scott Berzon

    Neil Fasching

    David Krieger

    Grant Stanton

    Carol Warner

    Rick Wayman

     

  • Nukes Are Nuts: The Sequel

    David KriegerNuclear weapons are monstrous – obscene – explosive devices that have no function other than to threaten or cause mass annihilation. They kill indiscriminately and cause unimaginable suffering. The world knows well the death, destruction and lingering pain caused by these weapons used at Hiroshima and Nagasaki. Nuclear weapons could end civilization and have no place in a civilized society. Nukes are nuts!

    Nuclear weapons are very effective killing devices. The bombings of Hiroshima and Nagasaki demonstrated that a single, small nuclear weapon is capable of destroying a city and causing mass death and suffering beyond any society’s capacity to cope with such a humanitarian tragedy. The City of Hiroshima 2013 Peace Declaration, issued 68 years after a single atomic weapon destroyed the city, reflected on the effects of the US atomic bomb: “Indiscriminately stealing the lives of innocent people, permanently altering the lives of survivors, and stalking their minds and bodies to the end of their days, the atomic bomb is the ultimate inhumane weapon and an absolute evil.” Nuclear weapons corrupt our humanity. Nukes are nuts!

    Atmospheric scientists inform us of what would happen in a relatively small regional nuclear war between India and Pakistan, in which each side used 50 Hiroshima-size nuclear weapons on the other side’s cities. It would result in putting enough soot into the upper stratosphere to restrict warming sunlight, shorten growing seasons and cause crop failures leading to global nuclear famine and the deaths by starvation of some 2 billion people. Nukes are nuts!

    The possibility of nuclear famine is horrendous, but even more terrifying would be an all-out nuclear war, which could send the planet into another ice age and make precarious the continued existence of human life. Nuclear weapons threaten not the planet itself, for the planet can recover after hundreds of thousands of years. They threaten the human species and all other forms of complex life. The nuclear-armed countries are playing Russian roulette with the human future. Nukes are nuts!

    In November 2013, the Council of Delegates of the International Red Cross and Red Crescent Movement passed a resolution on “Working towards the elimination of nuclear weapons: Four-year action plan.” The council reiterated “its deep concern about the catastrophic humanitarian consequences of any use of nuclear weapons, including the unspeakable human suffering that their use would cause and the threat that such weapons pose to food production, the environment and future generations.” Nukes are nuts!

    By any measure, the possession, threat or use of nuclear weapons is immoral and exceedingly dangerous. Continued reliance on these weapons of mass annihilation by the nine nuclear-armed countries encourages nuclear proliferation and keeps open the door for terrorists to obtain nuclear arms. A nuclear war could be initiated by accident, miscalculation or design. Nukes are nuts!

    Those of us privileged to be alive on the planet now have responsibilities to be good stewards of the planet and its varied life forms, and to pass the planet on intact to new generations. What kind of stewards are we? Are we fulfilling our responsibilities to future generations of humans who are not yet here to speak for themselves? Nukes are nuts!

    Is it not extreme hubris for the leaders of nuclear-armed states to assert that the manufacture, possession, deployment, modernization, threatened use and use of these weapons, capable of omnicide, the death of all, can be controlled by human beings without proliferating to other countries or being used by accident or design, putting at risk all that we treasure, including the future of the human species? Nukes are nuts!

    Nuclear weapons are creations of the human mind that came into being through political decisions and scientific and technological expertise. While these weapons are products of human invention and effort, our human capacity to control the destructive uses of this technology, by means of law or morality, has been grossly inadequate. We need to change our mindsets about nuclear weapons. They do not protect us but, rather, bring us to the precipice of catastrophe. Nukes are nuts!

    Humanity cannot afford a sequel to Hiroshima and Nagasaki. We must learn from our past and assure that nuclear weapons and nuclear war are not our legacy to the future. Nukes are nuts!

    This article was originally published by Truthout.

    Find out more about Nukes are Nuts at www.nukesarenuts.org.

  • The Fragility of Our Complex Civilization

    The rapid growth of knowledge

    john_averyCultural evolution depends on the non-genetic storage, transmission, diffusion and utilization of information. The development of human speech, the invention of writing, the development of paper and printing, and finally, in modern times, mass media, computers and the Internet: all these have been crucial steps in society’s explosive accumulation of information and knowledge. Human cultural evolution proceeds at a constantly-accelerating speed, so great in fact that it threatens to shake society to pieces.

    In many respects, our cultural evolution can be regarded as an enormous success. However, at the start of the 21st century, most thoughtful observers agree that civilization is entering a period of crisis. As all curves move exponentially upward, population, production, consumption, rates of scientific discovery, and so on, one can observe signs of increasing environmental stress, while the continued existence and spread of nuclear weapons threaten civilization with destruction. Thus, while the explosive growth of knowledge has brought many benefits, the problem of achieving a stable, peaceful and sustainable world remains serious, challenging and unsolved.

    Our modern civilization has been built up by means of a worldwide exchange of ideas and inventions. It is built on the achievements of many ancient cultures. China, Japan, India, Mesopotamia, Egypt, Greece, the Islamic world, Christian Europe, and the Jewish intellectual traditions, all have contributed.   Potatoes, corn, squash, vanilla, chocolate, chili peppers, and quinine are gifts from the American Indians.

    The sharing of scientific and technological knowledge is essential to modern civilization. The great power of science is derived from an enormous concentration of attention and resources on the understanding of a tiny fragment of nature. It would make no sense to proceed in this way if knowledge were not permanent, and if it were not shared by the entire world.

    Science is not competitive. It is cooperative. It is a great monument built by many thousands of hands, each adding a stone to the cairn. This is true not only of scientific knowledge but also of every aspect of our culture, history, art and literature, as well as the skills that produce everyday objects upon which our lives depend. Civilization is cooperative. It is not competitive.

    Our cultural heritage is not only immensely valuable; it is also so great that no individual comprehends all of it. We are all specialists, who understand only a tiny fragment of the enormous edifice. No scientist understands all of science. Perhaps Leonardo da Vinci could come close in his day, but today it is impossible. Nor do the vast majority people who use cell phones, personal computers and television sets every day understand in detail how they work. Our health is preserved by medicines, which are made by processes that most of us do not understand, and we travel to work in automobiles and buses that we would be completely unable to construct.

    The fragility of modern society

    As our civilization has become more and more complex, it has become increasingly vulnerable to disasters. We see this whenever there are power cuts or transportation failures due to severe storms. If electricity should fail for a very long period of time, our complex society would cease to function. The population of the world is now so large that it is completely dependent on the the high efficiency of modern agriculture. We are also very dependent on the stability of our economic system.

    The fragility of modern society is particularly worrying, because, with a little thought, we can predict several future threats which will stress our civilization very severely. We will need much wisdom and solidarity to get safely through the difficulties that now loom ahead of us.

    We can already see the the problem of famine in vulnerable parts of the world. Climate change will make this problem more severe by bringing aridity to parts of the world that are now large producers of grain, for example the Middle West of the United States. Climate change has caused the melting of glaciers in the Himalayas and the Andes. When these glaciers are completely melted, China, India and several countries in South America will be deprived of their summer water supply. Water for irrigation will also become increasingly problematic because of falling water tables. Rising sea levels will drown many rice-growing areas in South-East Asia. Finally, modern agriculture is very dependent on fossil fuels for the production of fertilizer and for driving farm machinery. In the future, high-yield agriculture will be dealt a severe blow by the rising price of fossil fuels.

    Economic collapse is another threat that we will have to face in the future. Our present fractional reserve banking system is dependent on economic growth. But perpetual growth of industry on a finite planet is a logical impossibility. Thus we are faced with a period of stress, where reform of our growth-based economic system and great changes of lifestyle will both become necessary.

    How will we get through the difficult period ahead? I believe that solutions to the difficult problems of the future are possible, but only if we face the problems honestly and make the adjustments which they demand. Above all, we must maintain our human solidarity.

    The great and complex edifice of human civilization is far too precious to be risked in a thermonuclear war. It has been built by all humans, working together. By working together, we must now ensure that it is handed on intact to our children and grandchildren.

    John Avery is a leader in the Danish Pugwash movement.